Materials
Yara International ASA
| Strategy | Weight | Market value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI Concentrated | 16.67% | 176 394 NOK | 0 NOK+0.00% |
| AI Equal Weight | 7.14% | 73 571 NOK | −14 243 NOK−16.22% |
| AI Momentum | 7.90% | 64 707 NOK | −33 989 NOK−34.44% |
| Date | Score | Rank | Confidence | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25. september 2026 | 52 | 4 | medium | Yara is flat on a 20d basis with near-zero vsMA and a mid-range position (55%), indicating a balanced setup where fertiliser fundamentals and energy cost normalisation provide modest support. |
| 24. september 2026 | 38 | 10 | low | Mildly negative momentum across all timeframes with the stock below its 20-day MA and in the lower quartile of its 20-day range; no material catalyst in sight. |
| 23. september 2026 | 42 | 10 | low | Yara's momentum is marginally negative across all timeframes with flat-to-weak 43% range positioning; fertiliser market uncertainty keeps conviction low despite reasonable sector defensibility. |
| 22. september 2026 | 46 | 7 | medium | Yara shows roughly flat 20-day momentum with the stock sitting mid-range, suggesting a neutral setup with no strong catalysts visible in either direction. |
| 21. september 2026 | 50 | 6 | medium | Yara's positive 20d return and mid-range positioning offer modest optimism, but the recent 5d pullback and marginal negative vsMA temper enthusiasm in a mixed fertiliser macro backdrop. |
| 18. september 2026 | 51 | 9 | medium | Yara's strong 20d return (+9%) is encouraging but has stalled at the 20-day MA with a -3.8% 5-day drop, suggesting the rally may be losing steam without a fresh catalyst. |
| 17. september 2026 | 55 | 6 | medium | Yara holds a solid +7.6% 20-day gain and sits at 60% of its range, though a weak 5-day return (-4.1%) flags short-term profit-taking risk in the fertilizer space. |
| 16. september 2026 | 67 | 5 | medium | YAR has rallied +10.2% over the month and holds at 80% of its 20-day range, with fertiliser prices potentially supported by energy cost dynamics at elevated Brent levels. |
| 15. september 2026 | 55 | 7 | medium | YAR has a decent 20d return (+8.2%) and sits at 65% of its range, but the weak 5-day print (-2.3%) and high volatility suggest the fertiliser rally may be stalling; high energy costs from $107 crude are a margin headwind. |
| 14. september 2026 | 55 | 6 | medium | Yara has a decent +8.2% 20-day return and trades above its MA at mid-range, but recent 5-day weakness (-2.3%) suggests near-term momentum may be fading after a strong run. |
| 11. september 2026 | 78 | 3 | high | Yara is at its 20-day high with exceptional momentum (+5.8% weekly, +11.7% monthly) likely driven by nitrogen/fertiliser price recovery and elevated energy costs boosting crop commodity dynamics. |
| 10. september 2026 | 80 | 2 | high | Yara is at the 20-day high with the strongest monthly momentum in the universe (+10.1%) and benefits from elevated energy prices feeding through to fertiliser pricing power. |
| 9. september 2026 | 72 | 4 | high | Yara is the top performer in Materials with +9.9% over 20 days, +4.0% above its MA, and at 88% of its 20d range, reflecting improving fertiliser pricing and USD/NOK tailwinds for this exporter. |
| 8. september 2026 | 72 | 3 | high | Yara leads the materials sector with +9.9% 20d return, +4.0% above MA, and Rng at 88% — strong fertiliser price momentum and a clear technical breakout support near-term conviction. |
| 7. september 2026 | 72 | 4 | high | Yara leads Materials with +9.9% 20d return and 88% range position — improving fertilizer demand and energy cost dynamics are driving renewed momentum. |
| 4. september 2026 | 72 | 4 | high | Yara is at its 20-day high with the strongest vsMA reading in materials (+5.6%) and a solid +8.6% monthly gain, suggesting improving fertiliser demand or cost dynamics. |
| 3. september 2026 | 62 | 6 | medium | Yara shows decent 20-day gains (+5.0%) and sits at 74% of its range, supported by elevated energy-driven fertiliser pricing, but minor weekly weakness (-1.7%) limits short-term conviction. |
| 2. september 2026 | 72 | 5 | high | At 99% of 20-day range with strong MA outperformance (+5.4%) and a solid 20d return (+5.1%); elevated Brent indirectly supports fertiliser pricing through energy cost dynamics. |
| 1. september 2026 | 55 | 10 | medium | Yara is above its 20-day MA (+3.4%) with flat 20-day returns (-0.1%) and good range position (Rng 75%), but fertiliser fundamentals remain mixed with no clear near-term catalyst. |
| 31. august 2026 | 52 | 12 | medium | Yara shows mildly positive weekly momentum (+1.2%) but a negative 20-day trend (-2.7%), with fertiliser market headwinds and energy-cost sensitivity creating a mixed picture. |
| 28. august 2026 | 68 | 4 | medium | Strong 4.4% weekly gain and vsMA +5.6% at 20-day high suggests improving fertiliser pricing dynamics and a potential re-rating, though commodity input costs remain a risk. |
| 27. august 2026 | 74 | 5 | high | Yara surged +8.9% in the past week to a 93% range position, pointing to a strong near-term catalyst (likely nitrogen/fertiliser price tailwinds), making it a high-conviction momentum trade this week. |
| 26. august 2026 | 82 | 1 | high | YAR is at its 20-day high (Rng=100%) with an outstanding +9.2% 5d surge and +5.8% above its MA, pointing to a strong positive catalyst and robust near-term momentum. |
| 25. august 2026 | 76 | 2 | high | Outstanding 5-day surge (+7.6%) pushing price to 98% of its 20-day range with vsMA at +4.5%, likely driven by fertiliser price improvement and/or a positive sector catalyst. |
| 24. august 2026 | 72 | 4 | high | Yara surges +7.6% in five days to sit at 98% of its 20-day range well above the MA (+4.5%), with fertiliser names broadly benefiting from commodity tailwinds; momentum is strong but overbought risk is moderate. |
| 21. august 2026 | 55 | 9 | medium | Yara's +3.6% weekly pop and position above its 20-day MA provide a modest positive setup, though a near-flat 20-day return and elevated vol signal that fertiliser market uncertainty persists. |
| 20. august 2026 | 22 | 15 | low | Yara sits at the very bottom of its 20-day range (0%), is down -5.3% over 20 days and -3.8% below its MA — the weakest technical setup in the entire universe. |
| 19. august 2026 | 22 | 15 | low | Yara is at the bottom of its 20-day range (3%) with -6.7% monthly and -3.7% below its moving average — a clear downtrend with no visible catalyst for reversal in a weak fertiliser demand environment. |
| 18. august 2026 | 28 | 15 | low | Weakest momentum in the universe (-7.3% over 20 days, -3.9% below the 20-day MA, Rng only 5%) amid ongoing fertiliser price pressure and no visible near-term catalyst. |
| 17. august 2026 | 22 | 15 | low | Weakest momentum in the universe (-7.3% in 20d, -3.9% below MA, only 5% of 20d range) as fertiliser margins remain under pressure with no near-term recovery catalyst. |
| 14. august 2026 | 22 | 15 | low | Yara is the weakest name in the universe with -8% 20-day return, only 13% of its range, and negative vsMA (-3.8%), reflecting fertiliser price weakness and a broken technical trend. |
| 13. august 2026 | 30 | 14 | low | Yara is the weakest stock in the universe — negative 5d and 20d returns, 4.5% below its 20-day MA, near its 20-day low (12% range), with no visible positive catalyst. |
| 12. august 2026 | 28 | 14 | low | Yara is in a clear downtrend with -6.8% over 20 days, -3.9% below its MA, and near its 20-day low (18% range), as weak fertiliser pricing and high input costs weigh heavily. |
| 11. august 2026 | 22 | 15 | low | Yara is at its 20-day low after falling -6.8% this week and -6.4% over the month, with the worst technical setup in the universe and no positive catalyst to arrest the downtrend. |
| 10. august 2026 | 18 | 15 | low | Yara is at its 20-day low (0% Rng) with a -6.8% weekly and -6.4% monthly decline, deeply below its 20d MA (-6.4%), signalling clear distribution and sector headwinds. |
| 7. august 2026 | 22 | 15 | low | Yara sits at its 20-day low (Rng=0%), -5.2% below its 20d MA, with a -6.1% 5-day loss and -6.3% 20-day return — the clearest avoid in the universe on weak fertiliser fundamentals. |
| 6. august 2026 | 22 | 15 | low | Yara sits at its 20d low (Rng=0%) with a -5.2% vsMA and negative returns across both 5d and 20d timeframes, signalling clear downward pressure with no visible near-term catalyst. |
| 5. august 2026 | 34 | 14 | low | Yara is sitting near its 20-day low (Rng 5%), below its moving average (-3.3%), with a negative 5-day return — weak fertiliser sector dynamics and poor technical setup suggest near-term weakness. |
| 4. august 2026 | 44 | 11 | low | Mildly positive 20d return (+2.9%) is offset by a -2.1% weekly pullback and 42% range position; fertiliser pricing uncertainty limits near-term upside. |
| 3. august 2026 | 43 | 12 | low | Modest 20d return (+2.9%) is offset by negative 5d (-2.1%), slight MA underperformance, and mid-range positioning (42nd pct), with fertiliser market uncertainty adding fundamental headwinds. |
| 31. juli 2026 | 58 | 8 | medium | Yara shows moderate positive momentum (+6.6% 20d) with a mid-range position (53%), reflecting cautious optimism on fertiliser margins but no clear near-term catalyst. |
| 30. juli 2026 | 48 | 10 | medium | Yara shows flat momentum (+1.7% 20d, -0.6% vsMA, midrange) with fertiliser sector headwinds from high energy input costs partly offset by elevated Brent; no clear near-term catalyst. |
| 29. juli 2026 | 40 | 12 | low | Yara has a slightly positive 20d return but negative 5d momentum and is sitting in the lower third of its range below the 20-day MA, reflecting ongoing fertiliser pricing pressure. |
| 28. juli 2026 | 62 | 7 | medium | Positive 20-day trend with price above the MA and in the upper range, with fertiliser demand and USD/NOK providing modest fundamental support. |
| 27. juli 2026 | 62 | 7 | medium | Yara trades above its MA with positive 5d and 20d momentum in the upper-middle of its range; fertiliser demand and energy cost dynamics (high Brent is a headwind for input costs) keep conviction moderate. |
| 24. juli 2026 | 44 | 12 | low | Modest 20-day gain (+1%) overwhelmed by a sharp -3.0% weekly drop; fertilizer margins remain under pressure with natural gas costs elevated near $100 Brent, and range position is neutral. |
| 23. juli 2026 | 35 | 11 | low | A sharp -6.2% weekly drop drags Yara to 37% of range despite a slightly positive 20d return, signalling a sudden negative catalyst or sentiment shift. |
| 22. juli 2026 | 50 | 9 | medium | Yara sits mid-range with mixed signals — a healthy 20-day return (+3.3%) offset by a weak 5-day (-2.0%), suggesting the stock is consolidating with no clear near-term direction. |
| 21. juli 2026 | 55 | 8 | medium | Yara shows modest positive momentum on both timeframes and sits mid-range, with fertiliser demand providing a neutral-to-positive fundamental backdrop but no clear near-term catalyst. |
| 20. juli 2026 | 55 | 8 | medium | Yara shows modest positive momentum (+1.5% 5d, +0.8% 20d) with a 62% range position, but materials sector headwinds and no fundamental data keep conviction limited. |
| 17. juli 2026 | 63 | 6 | medium | Positive vsMA (+4.2%), solid range position (79%), and modest multi-week gains in a global fertiliser recovery context support a moderately constructive view on Yara. |
| 16. juli 2026 | 77 | 4 | high | Yara's +8.4% 5d breakout to the 20-day high with a strong vsMA of +6.5% suggests a positive re-rating catalyst or commodity tailwind driving near-term upside. |
| 15. juli 2026 | 71 | 4 | high | Yara hits its 20-day high with a strong +6.0% weekly bounce and +3.9% above MA, though the 20-day return remains slightly negative, signalling a potential reversal watch. |
| 14. juli 2026 | 52 | 7 | medium | Yara shows a mild recovery (+2.4% 5d) and sits at the midpoint of its range and just above MA, offering a balanced but uninspiring setup in materials. |
| 13. juli 2026 | 50 | 7 | medium | Modest 5-day recovery (+2.4%) and exactly at the mid-range (50%) with a slight positive vsMA (+1.0%) provide a neutral-to-mildly-positive setup; fertiliser demand outlook mixed with no specific news catalyst. |
| 10. juli 2026 | 62 | 8 | medium | Strong 5-day bounce (+6.9%) has pushed Yara back above its 20-day MA (+2.0%) despite a still-negative 20-day return, suggesting a potential short-term mean-reversion opportunity at moderate risk. |
| 9. juli 2026 | 32 | 12 | low | Yara is under meaningful pressure — down 8.8% over 20 days, near the low of its range (Rng=17%), with no fertiliser-specific catalyst to reverse the trend near-term. |
| 8. juli 2026 | 32 | 11 | low | Yara faces a -7.2% 20-day decline and sits near 20-day lows (Rng 14%) with fertiliser market headwinds and no near-term catalyst to reverse the downtrend. |
| 7. juli 2026 | 33 | 13 | low | Yara is down -12.1% over 20 days at the 20th percentile of its range, with materials/fertiliser sector sentiment weak and no visible positive catalyst to arrest the decline. |
| 6. juli 2026 | 30 | 12 | low | Weak monthly momentum (-12.1%) and price near 20-day lows reflect ongoing fertiliser sector headwinds with no near-term catalyst visible. |
| 3. juli 2026 | 30 | 12 | low | Yara is under pressure from a weak 20-day trend (-13.6%) sitting near 20-day lows; fertiliser margins remain challenged by high energy input costs relative to crop prices. |
| 2. juli 2026 | 20 | 12 | low | Yara is in a severe downtrend (-18.1% over 20 days) at its 20-day low, pressured by weak fertiliser prices and elevated volatility, with no near-term fundamental catalyst to stabilise the name. |
| 1. juli 2026 | 30 | 9 | low | Yara has failed to recover from a -13.7% monthly decline and sits at 6% of its 20-day range, with fertiliser price weakness and high commodity cost sensitivity creating a negative near-term setup. |
| 30. juni 2026 | 25 | 12 | low | Yara is down -14.2% over 20 days and sits at just 2% of its range, with softening fertiliser prices, elevated energy input costs, and high volatility (18.6%) making a near-term recovery unlikely. |
| 29. juni 2026 | 22 | 13 | low | Yara is in a pronounced downtrend (-13.0% 20d, vsMA=-6.2%, Rng=8%) with the highest realised volatility among non-materials peers (Vol=18.5%), reflecting fertiliser price and margin pressures. |
| 26. juni 2026 | 22 | 14 | low | Yara is down 15.5% over 20 days at its 20-day low with the highest range volatility among non-materials names, and weak fertiliser market dynamics and high energy input costs weigh heavily on the near-term outlook. |
| 25. juni 2026 | 27 | 12 | low | Yara faces significant technical weakness — down 11.9% over 20 days, near 20-day lows, with elevated volatility — and fertiliser markets remain under pressure with no clear near-term catalyst. |
| 24. juni 2026 | 22 | 14 | low | Yara is at its 20-day low with a devastating -16.7% monthly return and sits 9.1% below its 20-day MA, reflecting global fertiliser market weakness and elevated volatility — the weakest setup in the universe. |
| 23. juni 2026 | 18 | 15 | low | Yara is at the bottom of its 20-day range with the worst momentum in the universe (-17.3% over 20d, -9.8% below MA, -7.0% last week), signalling severe selling pressure with no identifiable catalyst for reversal. |
| 22. juni 2026 | 18 | 14 | low | Yara is the worst performer on a 20-day basis (-15.9%), sitting at just 7% of its recent range with severe momentum destruction driven by weak fertiliser prices and energy cost headwinds. |
| 19. juni 2026 | 20 | 12 | low | Yara sits at its 20-day low after a brutal -7.8% 5-day and -16.4% 20-day selloff with the highest realised volatility in the universe (18.4%), as weak fertiliser pricing and commodity uncertainty provide no near-term support. |
| 18. juni 2026 | 18 | 13 | low | Yara is at 0% of its 20-day range after a brutal 14.9% monthly decline, with high volatility and weak fertilizer/commodity market conditions offering no near-term recovery catalyst. |
| 17. juni 2026 | 18 | 15 | low | Yara is at its 20-day low (Rng=0%) with the worst 20-day return in the universe (-15.0%), -8.3% below its MA — fertiliser margin pressure and a hawkish macro backdrop create a deeply unfavourable near-term setup. |
| 16. juni 2026 | 22 | 12 | low | Near the 20-day low at the 3rd percentile of its range with a -12.6% monthly decline and -7.0% below 20-day MA — materials headwinds and weak fertiliser demand are pressuring the stock. |
| 15. juni 2026 | 22 | 15 | low | Yara is the weakest name in the universe — -4.8% last week, -10.6% over 20 days, at 8% of its range, -6.9% below its 20-day MA — with persistent fertiliser pricing headwinds driving one of the worst momentum profiles on Oslo Børs. |
| 12. juni 2026 | 26 | 14 | low | Yara faces the steepest monthly decline in the universe (-11.0%) with weak 5d momentum and elevated volatility, reflecting ongoing fertiliser market pressure and cost headwinds. |
| 11. juni 2026 | 22 | 15 | low | Worst momentum in the universe (-8.9% 5d, -11.2% 20d), -8.0% below MA, near 20-day lows at 8% range — fertiliser pricing headwinds and sustained institutional selling make this an avoid. |
| 10. juni 2026 | 24 | 15 | low | Yara has the worst combined momentum in the universe (-6.1% / -10.2%), sits near 20-day lows, and faces ongoing headwinds from elevated energy input costs and weak fertiliser pricing. |
| 9. juni 2026 | 16 | 15 | low | Yara is the worst-performing stock over 20 days in the entire universe (-13.3%), sits at its 20-day low, and faces headwinds from elevated energy costs and weak fertiliser demand — avoid. |
| 8. juni 2026 | 26 | 11 | low | Yara sits at its 20-day low with -1.8% weekly and -6.8% monthly declines, reflecting fertiliser market headwinds and elevated input cost uncertainty. |
| 5. juni 2026 | 30 | 13 | low | Yara faces a weak setup: -9.3% over 20 days, near 20d lows (Rng 3%), and fertiliser/materials sector headwinds with no near-term catalyst visible. |
| 4. juni 2026 | 50 | 6 | medium | Yara bounces +3.1% this week but the 20-day return remains -4.0% and it sits only in the 30% range, suggesting a modest recovery attempt in fertilizers with high crude supporting energy cost headwinds. |
| 3. juni 2026 | 30 | 11 | low | Yara faces persistent pressure from weak fertiliser margins and negative momentum (-2.8%/5d, -6.4%/20d, Rng=8%) with no near-term catalyst identified to reverse the downtrend. |
| 2. juni 2026 | 30 | 11 | low | Yara faces a weak momentum picture (-3.9% 5d, -5.4% 20d, -4.5% vs MA, Rng=6%) with fertiliser prices under pressure from lower energy input volatility and no near-term positive catalysts visible. |
| 1. juni 2026 | 27 | 12 | low | Yara sits near the bottom of its 20-day range with -5.5% weekly and -6.2% monthly declines, hurt by weak fertiliser pricing and global agricultural commodity uncertainty. |
| 29. mai 2026 | 33 | 9 | low | Yara sits near its 20-day low (16% range) with negative momentum across all timeframes; a softer USD provides modest relief but fertiliser demand and margin headwinds persist. |
| 28. mai 2026 | 20 | 14 | low | Yara sits at the 20-day low (Rng=0%) with steep losses on both 5d (-6.2%) and 20d (-6.8%) timeframes, reflecting weak fertiliser pricing and negative sentiment momentum. |
| 27. mai 2026 | 28 | 13 | low | Yara is at the bottom of its 20d range (Rng=0%) with negative 5d and 20d returns and -2.6% below the MA, reflecting weak fertiliser sector sentiment and no visible near-term catalyst. |
| 26. mai 2026 | 24 | 14 | low | Yara sits at its 20-day low (0% range), below its MA, with both short- and medium-term negative momentum and no visible catalyst — avoid. |
| 25. mai 2026 | 25 | 14 | low | Sitting exactly at its 20d low (0% range), -1.9% below MA, and negative on both 5d and 20d — no momentum and fertiliser sector headwinds persist. |
| 22. mai 2026 | 38 | 15 | low | Yara faces structurally compressed fertiliser margins due to high European gas costs and global urea oversupply, with limited near-term catalysts to drive a meaningful re-rating. |
| 21. mai 2026 | 38 | 15 | low | Yara faces persistent margin compression from elevated European natural gas costs and weak global fertilizer prices, with no clear near-term catalyst for a meaningful recovery. |
| 20. mai 2026 | 38 | 15 | low | Yara faces persistent headwinds from high European gas input costs, compressed fertilizer spreads, and weak urea prices, with no clear near-term catalyst for margin recovery. |
| 18. mai 2026 | 44 | 15 | low | Yara faces persistent fertiliser price weakness, elevated European gas input costs, and structural demand headwinds in key markets, creating a challenged near-term earnings outlook. |
| 15. mai 2026 | 52 | 12 | medium | Yara faces mixed signals — global fertiliser demand is recovering but natural gas input costs remain elevated and European competitive pressure persists, keeping the setup balanced. |
| 14. mai 2026 | 38 | 15 | low | Yara faces persistent margin compression from elevated European natural gas costs and weak global fertiliser prices, with no near-term catalyst to break the downward earnings revision trend. |
| 13. mai 2026 | 44 | 15 | low | Yara faces persistent margin compression from elevated European natural-gas input costs and weakening global fertiliser prices, with no near-term catalysts to reverse the earnings downtrend. |
| 12. mai 2026 | 38 | 14 | low | Yara faces persistent headwinds from weak global fertiliser prices, high European gas costs, and structural overcapacity, making near-term earnings recovery uncertain and limiting near-term upside. |
| 11. mai 2026 | 38 | 15 | low | Yara faces continued margin pressure from elevated European gas costs, weak urea prices, and structural overcapacity from new Middle Eastern and North American supply. |
| 9. mai 2026 | 44 | — | Fertiliser cycle past peak; European gas costs pressuring margins. Long-term food security demand intact but near-term headwinds. |
| Date | Strategy | Direction | Shares | Price | Net amount | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25. september 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 33 | 457 NOK | 15 090 NOK | Score 52 — Yara is flat on a 20d basis with near-zero vsMA and a mid-range position (55%), indicating a balanced setup where fertiliser fundamentals and energy cost normalisation provide modest support. |
| 25. september 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 174 955 NOK | 175 042 NOK | Score 52 — Yara is flat on a 20d basis with near-zero vsMA and a mid-range position (55%), indicating a balanced setup where fertiliser fundamentals and energy cost normalisation provide modest support. |
| 24. september 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 2 | 446 NOK | 892 NOK | Score 38 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 23. september 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 12 | 452 NOK | 5 423 NOK | Score 42 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 22. september 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 11 | 450 NOK | 4 949 NOK | Score 46 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 21. september 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 15 | 461 NOK | 6 921 NOK | Score 50 — Yara's positive 20d return and mid-range positioning offer modest optimism, but the recent 5d pullback and marginal negative vsMA temper enthusiasm in a mixed fertiliser macro backdrop. |
| 18. september 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 19 | 453 NOK | 8 609 NOK | Score 51 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 17. september 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 414 | 449 NOK | 185 814 NOK | Score 55 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 17. september 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 33 | 449 NOK | 14 811 NOK | Score 55 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 16. september 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 35 | 461 NOK | 16 156 NOK | Score 67 — YAR has rallied +10.2% over the month and holds at 80% of its 20-day range, with fertiliser prices potentially supported by energy cost dynamics at elevated Brent levels. |
| 16. september 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 184 842 NOK | 184 934 NOK | Score 67 — YAR has rallied +10.2% over the month and holds at 80% of its 20-day range, with fertiliser prices potentially supported by energy cost dynamics at elevated Brent levels. |
| 15. september 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 4 | 452 NOK | 1 806 NOK | Score 55 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 14. september 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 35 | 461 NOK | 16 121 NOK | Score 55 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 14. september 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 455 | 461 NOK | 209 577 NOK | Score 55 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 11. september 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 7 | 471 NOK | 3 297 NOK | Score 78 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 10. september 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 17 | 469 NOK | 7 983 NOK | Score 80 — Yara is at the 20-day high with the strongest monthly momentum in the universe (+10.1%) and benefits from elevated energy prices feeding through to fertiliser pricing power. |
| 10. september 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 6 | 469 NOK | 2 818 NOK | Score 80 — Yara is at the 20-day high with the strongest monthly momentum in the universe (+10.1%) and benefits from elevated energy prices feeding through to fertiliser pricing power. |
| 9. september 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 3 | 459 NOK | 1 377 NOK | Score 72 — Yara is the top performer in Materials with +9.9% over 20 days, +4.0% above its MA, and at 88% of its 20d range, reflecting improving fertiliser pricing and USD/NOK tailwinds for this exporter. |
| 9. september 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 2 | 458 NOK | 915 NOK | Score 72 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 8. september 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 2 | 458 NOK | 916 NOK | Score 72 — Yara leads the materials sector with +9.9% 20d return, +4.0% above MA, and Rng at 88% — strong fertiliser price momentum and a clear technical breakout support near-term conviction. |
| 8. september 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 6 | 458 NOK | 2 749 NOK | Score 72 — Yara leads the materials sector with +9.9% 20d return, +4.0% above MA, and Rng at 88% — strong fertiliser price momentum and a clear technical breakout support near-term conviction. |
| 7. september 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 7 | 463 NOK | 3 244 NOK | Score 72 — Yara leads Materials with +9.9% 20d return and 88% range position — improving fertilizer demand and energy cost dynamics are driving renewed momentum. |
| 4. september 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 201 329 NOK | 201 429 NOK | Score 72 — Yara is at its 20-day high with the strongest vsMA reading in materials (+5.6%) and a solid +8.6% monthly gain, suggesting improving fertiliser demand or cost dynamics. |
| 4. september 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 31 | 460 NOK | 14 281 NOK | Score 72 — Yara is at its 20-day high with the strongest vsMA reading in materials (+5.6%) and a solid +8.6% monthly gain, suggesting improving fertiliser demand or cost dynamics. |
| 3. september 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 12 | 445 NOK | 5 343 NOK | Score 62 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 2. september 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 456 NOK | 457 NOK | Score 72 — At 99% of 20-day range with strong MA outperformance (+5.4%) and a solid 20d return (+5.1%); elevated Brent indirectly supports fertiliser pricing through energy cost dynamics. |
| 2. september 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 22 | 456 NOK | 10 047 NOK | Score 72 — At 99% of 20-day range with strong MA outperformance (+5.4%) and a solid 20d return (+5.1%); elevated Brent indirectly supports fertiliser pricing through energy cost dynamics. |
| 1. september 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 8 | 447 NOK | 3 577 NOK | Score 55 — Yara is above its 20-day MA (+3.4%) with flat 20-day returns (-0.1%) and good range position (Rng 75%), but fertiliser fundamentals remain mixed with no clear near-term catalyst. |
| 31. august 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 451 | 438 NOK | 197 332 NOK | Score 52 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 31. august 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 34 | 438 NOK | 14 876 NOK | Score 52 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 28. august 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 13 | 456 NOK | 5 926 NOK | Score 68 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 27. august 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 8 | 453 NOK | 3 622 NOK | Score 74 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 27. august 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 38 | 453 NOK | 17 203 NOK | Score 74 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 26. august 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 18 | 457 NOK | 8 226 NOK | Score 82 — YAR is at its 20-day high (Rng=100%) with an outstanding +9.2% 5d surge and +5.8% above its MA, pointing to a strong positive catalyst and robust near-term momentum. |
| 25. august 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 12 | 451 NOK | 5 409 NOK | Score 76 — Outstanding 5-day surge (+7.6%) pushing price to 98% of its 20-day range with vsMA at +4.5%, likely driven by fertiliser price improvement and/or a positive sector catalyst. |
| 25. august 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 7 | 451 NOK | 3 155 NOK | Score 76 — Outstanding 5-day surge (+7.6%) pushing price to 98% of its 20-day range with vsMA at +4.5%, likely driven by fertiliser price improvement and/or a positive sector catalyst. |
| 24. august 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 42 | 433 NOK | 18 213 NOK | Score 72 — Yara surges +7.6% in five days to sit at 98% of its 20-day range well above the MA (+4.5%), with fertiliser names broadly benefiting from commodity tailwinds; momentum is strong but overbought risk is moderate. |
| 24. august 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 433 NOK | 434 NOK | Score 72 — Yara surges +7.6% in five days to sit at 98% of its 20-day range well above the MA (+4.5%), with fertiliser names broadly benefiting from commodity tailwinds; momentum is strong but overbought risk is moderate. |
| 24. august 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 200 977 NOK | 201 078 NOK | Score 72 — Yara surges +7.6% in five days to sit at 98% of its 20-day range well above the MA (+4.5%), with fertiliser names broadly benefiting from commodity tailwinds; momentum is strong but overbought risk is moderate. |
| 21. august 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 73 | 438 NOK | 31 963 NOK | Score 55 — Yara's +3.6% weekly pop and position above its 20-day MA provide a modest positive setup, though a near-flat 20-day return and elevated vol signal that fertiliser market uncertainty persists. |
| 19. august 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 3 | 417 NOK | 1 252 NOK | Score 22 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 18. august 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 4 | 419 NOK | 1 676 NOK | Score 28 — Weakest momentum in the universe (-7.3% over 20 days, -3.9% below the 20-day MA, Rng only 5%) amid ongoing fertiliser price pressure and no visible near-term catalyst. |
| 14. august 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 15 | 422 NOK | 6 324 NOK | Score 22 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 13. august 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 8 | 423 NOK | 3 383 NOK | Score 30 — Yara is the weakest stock in the universe — negative 5d and 20d returns, 4.5% below its 20-day MA, near its 20-day low (12% range), with no visible positive catalyst. |
| 12. august 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 8 | 426 NOK | 3 411 NOK | Score 28 — Yara is in a clear downtrend with -6.8% over 20 days, -3.9% below its MA, and near its 20-day low (18% range), as weak fertiliser pricing and high input costs weigh heavily. |
| 6. august 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 26 | 424 NOK | 11 028 NOK | Score 22 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 5. august 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 29 | 433 NOK | 12 564 NOK | Score 34 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 3. august 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 33 | 450 NOK | 14 841 NOK | Score 43 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 31. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 28 | 451 NOK | 12 639 NOK | Score 58 — Yara shows moderate positive momentum (+6.6% 20d) with a mid-range position (53%), reflecting cautious optimism on fertiliser margins but no clear near-term catalyst. |
| 30. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 18 | 443 NOK | 7 986 NOK | Score 48 — Yara shows flat momentum (+1.7% 20d, -0.6% vsMA, midrange) with fertiliser sector headwinds from high energy input costs partly offset by elevated Brent; no clear near-term catalyst. |
| 29. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 52 | 437 NOK | 22 731 NOK | Score 40 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 28. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 457 NOK | 457 NOK | Score 62 — Positive 20-day trend with price above the MA and in the upper range, with fertiliser demand and USD/NOK providing modest fundamental support. |
| 27. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 45 | 463 NOK | 20 830 NOK | Score 62 — Yara trades above its MA with positive 5d and 20d momentum in the upper-middle of its range; fertiliser demand and energy cost dynamics (high Brent is a headwind for input costs) keep conviction moderate. |
| 24. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 11 | 446 NOK | 4 905 NOK | Score 44 — Modest 20-day gain (+1%) overwhelmed by a sharp -3.0% weekly drop; fertilizer margins remain under pressure with natural gas costs elevated near $100 Brent, and range position is neutral. |
| 23. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 41 | 439 NOK | 18 001 NOK | Score 35 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 22. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 9 | 447 NOK | 4 023 NOK | Score 50 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 21. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 2 | 452 NOK | 904 NOK | Score 55 — Yara shows modest positive momentum on both timeframes and sits mid-range, with fertiliser demand providing a neutral-to-positive fundamental backdrop but no clear near-term catalyst. |
| 20. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 12 | 454 NOK | 5 442 NOK | Score 55 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 17. juli 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 431 | 459 NOK | 197 532 NOK | Score 63 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 17. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 32 | 459 NOK | 14 666 NOK | Score 63 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 16. juli 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 12 | 469 NOK | 5 632 NOK | Score 77 — Yara's +8.4% 5d breakout to the 20-day high with a strong vsMA of +6.5% suggests a positive re-rating catalyst or commodity tailwind driving near-term upside. |
| 16. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 11 | 469 NOK | 5 162 NOK | Score 77 — Yara's +8.4% 5d breakout to the 20-day high with a strong vsMA of +6.5% suggests a positive re-rating catalyst or commodity tailwind driving near-term upside. |
| 15. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 31 | 457 NOK | 14 182 NOK | Score 71 — Yara hits its 20-day high with a strong +6.0% weekly bounce and +3.9% above MA, though the 20-day return remains slightly negative, signalling a potential reversal watch. |
| 15. juli 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 190 804 NOK | 190 899 NOK | Score 71 — Yara hits its 20-day high with a strong +6.0% weekly bounce and +3.9% above MA, though the 20-day return remains slightly negative, signalling a potential reversal watch. |
| 14. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 3 | 445 NOK | 1 336 NOK | Score 52 — Yara shows a mild recovery (+2.4% 5d) and sits at the midpoint of its range and just above MA, offering a balanced but uninspiring setup in materials. |
| 13. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 5 | 441 NOK | 2 203 NOK | Score 50 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 10. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 64 | 452 NOK | 28 965 NOK | Score 62 — Strong 5-day bounce (+6.9%) has pushed Yara back above its 20-day MA (+2.0%) despite a still-negative 20-day return, suggesting a potential short-term mean-reversion opportunity at moderate risk. |
| 9. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 5 | 432 NOK | 2 157 NOK | Score 32 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 8. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 2 | 431 NOK | 863 NOK | Score 32 — Yara faces a -7.2% 20-day decline and sits near 20-day lows (Rng 14%) with fertiliser market headwinds and no near-term catalyst to reverse the downtrend. |
| 7. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 435 NOK | 435 NOK | Score 33 — Yara is down -12.1% over 20 days at the 20th percentile of its range, with materials/fertiliser sector sentiment weak and no visible positive catalyst to arrest the decline. |
| 6. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 4 | 433 NOK | 1 729 NOK | Score 30 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 3. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 27 | 423 NOK | 11 430 NOK | Score 30 — Yara is under pressure from a weak 20-day trend (-13.6%) sitting near 20-day lows; fertiliser margins remain challenged by high energy input costs relative to crop prices. |
| 2. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 37 | 435 NOK | 16 086 NOK | Score 20 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 1. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 13 | 432 NOK | 5 623 NOK | Score 30 — Yara has failed to recover from a -13.7% monthly decline and sits at 6% of its 20-day range, with fertiliser price weakness and high commodity cost sensitivity creating a negative near-term setup. |
| 30. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 11 | 438 NOK | 4 816 NOK | Score 25 — Yara is down -14.2% over 20 days and sits at just 2% of its range, with softening fertiliser prices, elevated energy input costs, and high volatility (18.6%) making a near-term recovery unlikely. |
| 29. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 6 | 430 NOK | 2 584 NOK | Score 22 — Yara is in a pronounced downtrend (-13.0% 20d, vsMA=-6.2%, Rng=8%) with the highest realised volatility among non-materials peers (Vol=18.5%), reflecting fertiliser price and margin pressures. |
| 26. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 17 | 441 NOK | 7 486 NOK | Score 22 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 25. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 25 | 433 NOK | 10 834 NOK | Score 27 — Yara faces significant technical weakness — down 11.9% over 20 days, near 20-day lows, with elevated volatility — and fertiliser markets remain under pressure with no clear near-term catalyst. |
| 24. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 8 | 434 NOK | 3 472 NOK | Score 22 — Yara is at its 20-day low with a devastating -16.7% monthly return and sits 9.1% below its 20-day MA, reflecting global fertiliser market weakness and elevated volatility — the weakest setup in the universe. |
| 22. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 15 | 442 NOK | 6 620 NOK | Score 18 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 19. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 9 | 455 NOK | 4 094 NOK | Score 20 — Yara sits at its 20-day low after a brutal -7.8% 5-day and -16.4% 20-day selloff with the highest realised volatility in the universe (18.4%), as weak fertiliser pricing and commodity uncertainty provide no near-term support. |
| 18. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 1 | 456 NOK | 456 NOK | Score 18 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 17. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 6 | 466 NOK | 2 793 NOK | Score 18 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 16. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 17 | 471 NOK | 8 004 NOK | Score 22 — Near the 20-day low at the 3rd percentile of its range with a -12.6% monthly decline and -7.0% below 20-day MA — materials headwinds and weak fertiliser demand are pressuring the stock. |
| 15. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 12 | 479 NOK | 5 742 NOK | Score 22 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 12. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 12 | 470 NOK | 5 647 NOK | Score 26 — Yara faces the steepest monthly decline in the universe (-11.0%) with weak 5d momentum and elevated volatility, reflecting ongoing fertiliser market pressure and cost headwinds. |
| 11. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 2 | 473 NOK | 946 NOK | Score 22 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 10. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 9 | 465 NOK | 4 184 NOK | Score 24 — Yara has the worst combined momentum in the universe (-6.1% / -10.2%), sits near 20-day lows, and faces ongoing headwinds from elevated energy input costs and weak fertiliser pricing. |
| 9. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 19 | 493 NOK | 9 366 NOK | Score 16 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 8. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 9 | 501 NOK | 4 506 NOK | Score 26 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 5. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 54 | 515 NOK | 27 822 NOK | Score 30 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 4. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 49 | 505 NOK | 24 763 NOK | Score 50 — Yara bounces +3.1% this week but the 20-day return remains -4.0% and it sits only in the 30% range, suggesting a modest recovery attempt in fertilizers with high crude supporting energy cost headwinds. |
| 3. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 1 | 503 NOK | 503 NOK | Score 30 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 2. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 8 | 503 NOK | 4 028 NOK | Score 30 — Yara faces a weak momentum picture (-3.9% 5d, -5.4% 20d, -4.5% vs MA, Rng=6%) with fertiliser prices under pressure from lower energy input volatility and no near-term positive catalysts visible. |
| 1. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 11 | 508 NOK | 5 586 NOK | Score 27 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 29. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 37 | 501 NOK | 18 543 NOK | Score 33 — Yara sits near its 20-day low (16% range) with negative momentum across all timeframes; a softer USD provides modest relief but fertiliser demand and margin headwinds persist. |
| 28. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 12 | 519 NOK | 6 221 NOK | Score 20 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 27. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 14 | 524 NOK | 7 344 NOK | Score 28 — Yara is at the bottom of its 20d range (Rng=0%) with negative 5d and 20d returns and -2.6% below the MA, reflecting weak fertiliser sector sentiment and no visible near-term catalyst. |
| 26. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 2 | 523 NOK | 1 046 NOK | Score 24 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 25. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 19 | 532 NOK | 10 097 NOK | Score 25 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 22. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 529 NOK | 529 NOK | Score 38 — Yara faces structurally compressed fertiliser margins due to high European gas costs and global urea oversupply, with limited near-term catalysts to drive a meaningful re-rating. |
| 21. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 3 | 533 NOK | 1 598 NOK | Score 38 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 20. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 7 | 533 NOK | 3 728 NOK | Score 38 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 18. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 17 | 525 NOK | 8 929 NOK | Score 44 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 15. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 30 | 527 NOK | 15 804 NOK | Score 52 — Yara faces mixed signals — global fertiliser demand is recovering but natural gas input costs remain elevated and European competitive pressure persists, keeping the setup balanced. |
| 14. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 37 | 523 NOK | 19 329 NOK | Score 38 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 13. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 14 | 529 NOK | 7 403 NOK | Score 55 — Yara is supported by recovering fertiliser demand and somewhat lower European gas input costs, but global urea price competition and geopolitical supply disruptions create meaningful uncertainty. |
| 12. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 530 NOK | 530 NOK | Score 55 — Yara is supported by recovering fertiliser demand and somewhat lower European gas input costs, but global urea price competition and geopolitical supply disruptions create meaningful uncertainty. |
| 11. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 70 077 NOK | 70 112 NOK | Score 55 — Yara is supported by recovering fertiliser demand and somewhat lower European gas input costs, but global urea price competition and geopolitical supply disruptions create meaningful uncertainty. |
| 10. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 677 NOK | 677 NOK | — |
| 9. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 55 485 NOK | 55 513 NOK | — |