Materials
Yara International ASA
| Strategy | Weight | Market value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI Concentrated | — | — | Not held |
| AI Equal Weight | 7.14% | 71 237 NOK | −707 NOK−0.98% |
| AI Momentum | 3.34% | 32 476 NOK | −9 436 NOK−22.51% |
| Date | Score | Rank | Confidence | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25. mai 2026 | 25 | 14 | low | Sitting exactly at its 20d low (0% range), -1.9% below MA, and negative on both 5d and 20d — no momentum and fertiliser sector headwinds persist. |
| 22. mai 2026 | 38 | 15 | low | Yara faces structurally compressed fertiliser margins due to high European gas costs and global urea oversupply, with limited near-term catalysts to drive a meaningful re-rating. |
| 21. mai 2026 | 38 | 15 | low | Yara faces persistent margin compression from elevated European natural gas costs and weak global fertilizer prices, with no clear near-term catalyst for a meaningful recovery. |
| 20. mai 2026 | 38 | 15 | low | Yara faces persistent headwinds from high European gas input costs, compressed fertilizer spreads, and weak urea prices, with no clear near-term catalyst for margin recovery. |
| 18. mai 2026 | 44 | 15 | low | Yara faces persistent fertiliser price weakness, elevated European gas input costs, and structural demand headwinds in key markets, creating a challenged near-term earnings outlook. |
| 15. mai 2026 | 52 | 12 | medium | Yara faces mixed signals — global fertiliser demand is recovering but natural gas input costs remain elevated and European competitive pressure persists, keeping the setup balanced. |
| 14. mai 2026 | 38 | 15 | low | Yara faces persistent margin compression from elevated European natural gas costs and weak global fertiliser prices, with no near-term catalyst to break the downward earnings revision trend. |
| 13. mai 2026 | 44 | 15 | low | Yara faces persistent margin compression from elevated European natural-gas input costs and weakening global fertiliser prices, with no near-term catalysts to reverse the earnings downtrend. |
| 12. mai 2026 | 38 | 14 | low | Yara faces persistent headwinds from weak global fertiliser prices, high European gas costs, and structural overcapacity, making near-term earnings recovery uncertain and limiting near-term upside. |
| 11. mai 2026 | 38 | 15 | low | Yara faces continued margin pressure from elevated European gas costs, weak urea prices, and structural overcapacity from new Middle Eastern and North American supply. |
| 9. mai 2026 | 44 | — | Fertiliser cycle past peak; European gas costs pressuring margins. Long-term food security demand intact but near-term headwinds. |
| Date | Strategy | Direction | Shares | Price | Net amount | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 19 | 532 NOK | 10 097 NOK | Score 25 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 22. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 529 NOK | 529 NOK | Score 38 — Yara faces structurally compressed fertiliser margins due to high European gas costs and global urea oversupply, with limited near-term catalysts to drive a meaningful re-rating. |
| 21. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 3 | 533 NOK | 1 598 NOK | Score 38 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 20. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 7 | 533 NOK | 3 728 NOK | Score 38 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 18. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 17 | 525 NOK | 8 929 NOK | Score 44 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 15. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 30 | 527 NOK | 15 804 NOK | Score 52 — Yara faces mixed signals — global fertiliser demand is recovering but natural gas input costs remain elevated and European competitive pressure persists, keeping the setup balanced. |
| 14. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 37 | 523 NOK | 19 329 NOK | Score 38 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 13. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 14 | 529 NOK | 7 403 NOK | Score 55 — Yara is supported by recovering fertiliser demand and somewhat lower European gas input costs, but global urea price competition and geopolitical supply disruptions create meaningful uncertainty. |
| 12. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 530 NOK | 530 NOK | Score 55 — Yara is supported by recovering fertiliser demand and somewhat lower European gas input costs, but global urea price competition and geopolitical supply disruptions create meaningful uncertainty. |
| 11. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 70 077 NOK | 70 112 NOK | Score 55 — Yara is supported by recovering fertiliser demand and somewhat lower European gas input costs, but global urea price competition and geopolitical supply disruptions create meaningful uncertainty. |
| 10. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 677 NOK | 677 NOK | — |
| 9. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 55 485 NOK | 55 513 NOK | — |