Telecommunications
Telenor ASA
| Strategy | Weight | Market value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI Concentrated | — | — | Not held |
| AI Equal Weight | 7.14% | 71 862 NOK | −12 675 NOK−14.99% |
| AI Momentum | 2.98% | 26 684 NOK | −173 094 NOK−86.64% |
| Date | Score | Rank | Confidence | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24. juli 2026 | 18 | 15 | low | Severe selloff (-8.1% 5d, -7.4% 20d, -5.3% below MA, 27% of range) signals a material company- or sector-specific negative catalyst — avoid until stabilization is confirmed. |
| 23. juli 2026 | 20 | 15 | low | Telenor's brutal -9.9% weekly drop pushes it to 22% of range and deeply below MA — significant negative event risk warrants avoidance. |
| 22. juli 2026 | 15 | 15 | low | Telenor is in a severe downtrend (-9.0% 5d, -8.3% 20d) at only 24% of range and deeply below its MA (-6.4%), with high realised volatility and no visible positive catalyst — clear avoid. |
| 21. juli 2026 | 20 | 14 | low | Telenor is in a clear downtrend (-7.8% over 20d, -7.2% last week) sitting at 32% of its range with negative vsMA; structural telecom headwinds and weak momentum argue for avoidance. |
| 20. juli 2026 | 32 | 12 | low | Telenor is in clear negative momentum with -7.2% weekly and -7.8% 20-day losses, sitting at 32% of its range and well below its 20-day MA — no near-term catalyst evident. |
| 17. juli 2026 | 58 | 10 | medium | Flat week and near-flat 20-day return (-0.2%) but marginally above MA (+0.9%) and solid range position (76%) with very low volatility (5.5%) characterise Telenor as a stable defensive hold. |
| 16. juli 2026 | 63 | 6 | medium | Telenor is at its 20-day high with a +2.2% vsMA, offering defensive stability and low volatility, though the mild negative 20d return limits near-term upside conviction. |
| 15. juli 2026 | 58 | 8 | medium | Telenor shows a positive 5-day bounce (+2.7%) and sits near mid-range, but a -2.8% 20-day return and telecom's limited macro sensitivity keep conviction moderate. |
| 14. juli 2026 | 55 | 6 | medium | Telenor offers defensive stability with a positive 5d return, near-neutral vsMA, and moderate volatility — a steady hold in an uncertain macro environment. |
| 13. juli 2026 | 55 | 6 | medium | Positive 5-day return (+1.8%), near-neutral vsMA (+0.3%), and mid-range positioning (51%) offer a stable defensive setup; Telenor's defensive telecom cash flows are appealing but 20-day trend (-4.5%) limits upside conviction. |
| 10. juli 2026 | 57 | 9 | medium | Telenor shows a solid 5-day gain (+4.0%) and trades near its 20-day MA (-0.2%), offering defensive telecom stability at mid-range positioning with low volatility (8.6%) despite mild negative 20-day drift. |
| 9. juli 2026 | 46 | 10 | medium | Telenor shows modest weekly recovery (+1.8%) but remains below its 20-day MA and in the lower half of its range, with a mild negative 20-day trend and no specific catalyst. |
| 8. juli 2026 | 35 | 10 | low | Telenor is in a mild downtrend (-5% over 20 days, Rng 23%) with no near-term catalyst; defensive telecom characteristics limit downside but the lack of momentum and EUR/NOK headwinds for international operations keep conviction low. |
| 7. juli 2026 | 37 | 11 | low | Telenor's -4.4% monthly decline, negative vsMA, and positioning in the 24th percentile of its range signal weak momentum with no near-term catalyst to reverse the trend. |
| 6. juli 2026 | 35 | 9 | low | Negative momentum across all timeframes (-4.4% monthly, Rng=24%) with price below 20-day MA; defensive yield appeal limits downside but lacks a near-term catalyst. |
| 3. juli 2026 | 33 | 8 | low | Telenor continues to drift lower (-1.9% / -6.2%), trading below its 20-day MA near 20-day lows; defensive yield appeal is offset by competitive pressure and weak NOK-adjusted returns. |
| 2. juli 2026 | 30 | 7 | low | Telenor sits at its 20-day low with a -7.7% monthly decline, and while defensive telecoms typically offer stability, the persistent negative momentum and below-MA positioning warrant an avoid stance near-term. |
| 1. juli 2026 | 35 | 7 | low | Telenor sits at its 20-day low with a -6.0% monthly decline; its defensive telecom profile provides fundamental support but momentum is clearly negative with no visible near-term catalyst. |
| 30. juni 2026 | 36 | 6 | low | Telenor sits at 0% of its 20-day range with mild but consistent negative momentum across timeframes; low volatility (5.8%) and defensive telecoms characteristics limit downside but offer no near-term positive catalyst. |
| 29. juni 2026 | 50 | 4 | medium | Telenor offers the most stable risk-adjusted profile (Vol=5.3%, lowest in universe) with only mild negative momentum (-4.0% 20d), making it a low-risk defensive holding with modest near-term upside. |
| 26. juni 2026 | 38 | 6 | low | Telenor is down 5.6% over 20 days, sitting near its 20-day low with negative vsMA, but its defensive telecoms cash flows and low volatility (5.3% Vol) provide a floor against further sharp declines. |
| 25. juni 2026 | 33 | 9 | low | Telenor is near its 20-day low with negative momentum across all timeframes; the defensive telecom characteristics limit downside but near-term momentum is clearly weak. |
| 24. juni 2026 | 33 | 10 | low | Telenor is at the bottom of its 20-day range (0%) with a -5.7% monthly return and -3.8% last week, pressured by a stronger NOK and competitive Nordic telecoms dynamics, with limited near-term catalysts. |
| 23. juni 2026 | 30 | 9 | low | Telenor is at its 20-day low with consistent negative momentum across all timeframes and the lowest realised volatility in the universe — a defensive stock drifting lower with no identifiable near-term catalyst. |
| 22. juni 2026 | 30 | 10 | low | Telenor's defensive telecom profile and low realised volatility provide a floor, but a -3.9% weekly loss, -7.1% monthly decline, and position at only 2% of range indicate persistent distribution. |
| 19. juni 2026 | 36 | 8 | low | Telenor's defensive telecom profile and low volatility (7.6%) are positives, but the -8.1% 20-day decline and position near the bottom of its 20-day range (7%) with vsMA at -2.8% suggest continued near-term selling pressure. |
| 18. juni 2026 | 26 | 10 | low | Telenor is at 0% of its 20-day range after declining 11.2% over the month, with negative momentum dominating despite the defensive telecom business model and modest volatility. |
| 17. juni 2026 | 35 | 7 | low | Telenor's near-flat 5-day performance and low Vol (9.9%) offer modest defensive appeal, but the -7.7% 20-day slide and Rng at 5% indicate persistent sector headwinds; the telco's dividend yield provides a partial valuation floor. |
| 16. juni 2026 | 38 | 8 | low | Defensive telecom with low weekly volatility but the -6.1% 20-day decline and 9th-percentile range position reflect persistent selling; EUR/NOK at 11.07 provides limited export benefit. |
| 15. juni 2026 | 48 | 7 | medium | Telenor posts a mild weekly gain (+1.9%) but remains -3.7% over 20 days and sits in the bottom quintile of its 20-day range (19%), suggesting residual selling pressure despite defensive sector support. |
| 12. juni 2026 | 36 | 9 | low | Telenor's defensive telecom profile offers stability but negative 20-day return (-4.5%) and a Rng of just 6% indicate persistent selling with limited near-term upside catalyst. |
| 11. juni 2026 | 33 | 13 | low | At the absolute 20-day low (0% range), -3.3% below MA, negative 5d and 20d momentum — telecom sector faces structural headwinds and the stock shows no sign of finding a bottom. |
| 10. juni 2026 | 38 | 10 | low | Telenor is trending negatively across all momentum metrics and sits near its 20-day low with no near-term catalyst, though its defensive telecom positioning and low volatility provide a floor. |
| 9. juni 2026 | 35 | 10 | low | Telenor sits near the bottom of its 20-day range (5%) with a negative 20d trend (-3.1%) and a modest vsMA drag, offering limited near-term upside without a sector catalyst. |
| 8. juni 2026 | 28 | 10 | low | Telenor is at its 20-day low with negative weekly and monthly momentum; the defensive telecom profile limits downside but there are no catalysts to drive near-term outperformance. |
| 5. juni 2026 | 37 | 12 | low | Telenor sits near its 20d low (Rng 3%), below its MA, with mild but consistently negative momentum across all timeframes, reflecting telecom sector defensiveness without upside catalyst. |
| 4. juni 2026 | 32 | 11 | low | Telenor sits near its 20-day low (6% range) with negative momentum across all timeframes (-1.2% weekly, -1.8% monthly, -2.8% vsMA), offering defensive quality but no near-term catalyst. |
| 3. juni 2026 | 35 | 10 | low | Telenor sits near its 20-day low (Rng=6%) with mild but persistent negative momentum across all frames (-1.1%/5d, -1.1%/20d, vsMA=-2.8%); defensive characteristics limit downside but no catalyst for recovery. |
| 2. juni 2026 | 35 | 10 | low | Telenor sits at the bottom of its 20-day range (Rng=0%) and is well below its MA (-3.4%), though moderate realised volatility (9.0%) and defensive sector characteristics partially cushion the weak momentum signal. |
| 1. juni 2026 | 38 | 7 | low | Telenor shows mild negative momentum across all timeframes and sits near the bottom of its range, though its defensive telecom profile, stable cash flows, and lower volatility limit downside conviction. |
| 29. mai 2026 | 30 | 12 | low | Telenor is down significantly over 5d and 20d, sitting near 20d lows (16% range) with no positive catalysts visible, and defensively priced telecom characteristics cannot offset weak technicals. |
| 28. mai 2026 | 27 | 11 | low | Telenor is in a clear short-term downtrend (-6.8% 5d, -7.1% 20d) near multi-week lows (Rng=18%), with no visible catalyst for reversal despite its typically defensive telecoms characteristics. |
| 27. mai 2026 | 25 | 14 | low | Telenor is in a downtrend (-6.7% 20d, -5.9% 5d, Rng=16%) and near its 20d lows, with no positive news catalyst — defensive quality provides a floor but offers no near-term upside driver. |
| 26. mai 2026 | 30 | 12 | low | Telenor is in a clear downtrend with -5.3% 20d and -3.7% 5d, sitting well below its MA and near its 20-day low, with no visible positive catalyst. |
| 25. mai 2026 | 35 | 11 | low | Negative 5d (-3.7%) and 20d (-5.3%) returns with only 26% range position and below MA — defensive Telecom underperforming with no visible recovery catalyst. |
| 22. mai 2026 | 63 | 8 | medium | Telenor provides stable defensive cash flows and a high dividend yield, with its Nordic core business resilient, though Asian market risks and limited growth prospects cap the score. |
| 21. mai 2026 | 61 | 9 | medium | Telenor's stable Nordic telecoms cash flows and attractive 6%+ dividend yield provide defensive appeal, though subdued top-line growth and Asian market exposure keep conviction moderate. |
| 20. mai 2026 | 61 | 9 | medium | Telenor's defensive telecom cash flows and solid dividend yield provide stability, but competitive pressures in Nordic and Asian markets and limited earnings growth keep the score in moderate territory. |
| 18. mai 2026 | 64 | 8 | medium | Telenor offers a defensive yield and stable Nordic subscriber revenue, but limited organic growth, Asian market regulatory complexity, and muted pricing power make it a hold rather than a buy. |
| 15. mai 2026 | 63 | 9 | medium | Telenor's stable Nordic telco earnings and solid dividend yield offer defensive appeal, though limited growth catalysts and Asian market complexity cap the overall score. |
| 14. mai 2026 | 65 | 8 | medium | Telenor's stable Nordic and Asian telecom operations, high dividend yield, and defensive earnings profile offer a solid risk-adjusted hold, with modest upside from continued Asian market monetisation. |
| 13. mai 2026 | 63 | 7 | medium | Telenor's Scandinavian and Asian telecoms franchises provide stable free cash flow and a well-covered dividend, making it a low-beta defensive option, though growth catalysts remain limited near-term. |
| 12. mai 2026 | 64 | 9 | medium | Telenor's stable Nordic and Asian telecoms cash flows, progressive dividend, and ongoing cost-efficiency programme offer defensive income characteristics, with moderate near-term upside as NOK strength slightly pressures reported Asian earnings. |
| 11. mai 2026 | 63 | 8 | medium | Telenor offers a defensive dividend yield and stable Nordic subscriber trends, with modest upside from Asian market monetisation, but limited growth catalysts keep the score range-bound. |
| 9. mai 2026 | 47 | — | Mature Nordic telco; dividend yield attractive but growth limited. Asian operations (dtac/True merger) add execution risk. |
| Date | Strategy | Direction | Shares | Price | Net amount | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 83 | 134 NOK | 11 138 NOK | Score 20 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 20. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 214 | 128 NOK | 27 415 NOK | Score 32 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 17. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 34 | 145 NOK | 4 929 NOK | Score 58 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 16. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 29 | 147 NOK | 4 272 NOK | Score 63 — Telenor is at its 20-day high with a +2.2% vsMA, offering defensive stability and low volatility, though the mild negative 20d return limits near-term upside conviction. |
| 15. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 34 | 146 NOK | 4 957 NOK | Score 58 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 14. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 8 | 145 NOK | 1 157 NOK | Score 55 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 14. juli 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 1 171 | 145 NOK | 169 307 NOK | Score 55 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 13. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 68 | 144 NOK | 9 820 NOK | Score 55 — Positive 5-day return (+1.8%), near-neutral vsMA (+0.3%), and mid-range positioning (51%) offer a stable defensive setup; Telenor's defensive telecom cash flows are appealing but 20-day trend (-4.5%) limits upside conviction. |
| 13. juli 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 168 086 NOK | 168 170 NOK | Score 55 — Positive 5-day return (+1.8%), near-neutral vsMA (+0.3%), and mid-range positioning (51%) offer a stable defensive setup; Telenor's defensive telecom cash flows are appealing but 20-day trend (-4.5%) limits upside conviction. |
| 10. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 37 | 145 NOK | 5 362 NOK | Score 57 — Telenor shows a solid 5-day gain (+4.0%) and trades near its 20-day MA (-0.2%), offering defensive telecom stability at mid-range positioning with low volatility (8.6%) despite mild negative 20-day drift. |
| 9. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 77 | 145 NOK | 11 135 NOK | Score 46 — Telenor shows modest weekly recovery (+1.8%) but remains below its 20-day MA and in the lower half of its range, with a mild negative 20-day trend and no specific catalyst. |
| 7. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 11 | 142 NOK | 1 562 NOK | Score 37 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 3. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 3 | 139 NOK | 417 NOK | Score 33 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 2. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 56 | 142 NOK | 7 929 NOK | Score 30 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 1. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 37 | 143 NOK | 5 287 NOK | Score 35 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 30. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 176 | 145 NOK | 25 482 NOK | Score 36 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 30. juni 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 1 147 | 145 NOK | 166 066 NOK | Score 36 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 29. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 181 | 144 NOK | 26 085 NOK | Score 50 — Telenor offers the most stable risk-adjusted profile (Vol=5.3%, lowest in universe) with only mild negative momentum (-4.0% 20d), making it a low-risk defensive holding with modest near-term upside. |
| 29. juni 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 164 918 NOK | 165 000 NOK | Score 50 — Telenor offers the most stable risk-adjusted profile (Vol=5.3%, lowest in universe) with only mild negative momentum (-4.0% 20d), making it a low-risk defensive holding with modest near-term upside. |
| 26. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 59 | 144 NOK | 8 515 NOK | Score 38 — Telenor is down 5.6% over 20 days, sitting near its 20-day low with negative vsMA, but its defensive telecoms cash flows and low volatility (5.3% Vol) provide a floor against further sharp declines. |
| 25. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 28 | 144 NOK | 4 032 NOK | Score 33 — Telenor is near its 20-day low with negative momentum across all timeframes; the defensive telecom characteristics limit downside but near-term momentum is clearly weak. |
| 23. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 8 | 146 NOK | 1 164 NOK | Score 30 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 22. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 113 | 146 NOK | 16 507 NOK | Score 30 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 19. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 131 | 146 NOK | 19 089 NOK | Score 36 — Telenor's defensive telecom profile and low volatility (7.6%) are positives, but the -8.1% 20-day decline and position near the bottom of its 20-day range (7%) with vsMA at -2.8% suggest continued near-term selling pressure. |
| 18. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 128 | 149 NOK | 19 107 NOK | Score 26 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 17. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 10 | 150 NOK | 1 504 NOK | Score 35 — Telenor's near-flat 5-day performance and low Vol (9.9%) offer modest defensive appeal, but the -7.7% 20-day slide and Rng at 5% indicate persistent sector headwinds; the telco's dividend yield provides a partial valuation floor. |
| 15. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 106 | 150 NOK | 15 892 NOK | Score 48 — Telenor posts a mild weekly gain (+1.9%) but remains -3.7% over 20 days and sits in the bottom quintile of its 20-day range (19%), suggesting residual selling pressure despite defensive sector support. |
| 12. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 31 | 149 NOK | 4 620 NOK | Score 36 — Telenor's defensive telecom profile offers stability but negative 20-day return (-4.5%) and a Rng of just 6% indicate persistent selling with limited near-term upside catalyst. |
| 11. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 33 | 149 NOK | 4 929 NOK | Score 33 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 9. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 66 | 149 NOK | 9 836 NOK | Score 35 — Telenor sits near the bottom of its 20-day range (5%) with a negative 20d trend (-3.1%) and a modest vsMA drag, offering limited near-term upside without a sector catalyst. |
| 8. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 81 | 150 NOK | 12 164 NOK | Score 28 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 5. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 53 | 151 NOK | 8 004 NOK | Score 37 — Telenor sits near its 20d low (Rng 3%), below its MA, with mild but consistently negative momentum across all timeframes, reflecting telecom sector defensiveness without upside catalyst. |
| 4. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 59 | 151 NOK | 8 884 NOK | Score 32 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 3. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 6 | 150 NOK | 899 NOK | Score 35 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 2. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 40 | 151 NOK | 6 035 NOK | Score 35 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 1. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 109 | 153 NOK | 16 647 NOK | Score 38 — Telenor shows mild negative momentum across all timeframes and sits near the bottom of its range, though its defensive telecom profile, stable cash flows, and lower volatility limit downside conviction. |
| 29. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 19 | 153 NOK | 2 906 NOK | Score 30 — Telenor is down significantly over 5d and 20d, sitting near 20d lows (16% range) with no positive catalysts visible, and defensively priced telecom characteristics cannot offset weak technicals. |
| 28. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 55 | 153 NOK | 8 400 NOK | Score 27 — Telenor is in a clear short-term downtrend (-6.8% 5d, -7.1% 20d) near multi-week lows (Rng=18%), with no visible catalyst for reversal despite its typically defensive telecoms characteristics. |
| 27. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 31 | 154 NOK | 4 767 NOK | Score 25 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 26. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 44 | 154 NOK | 6 766 NOK | Score 30 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 25. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 165 | 157 NOK | 25 850 NOK | Score 35 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 22. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 17 | 159 NOK | 2 710 NOK | Score 63 — Telenor provides stable defensive cash flows and a high dividend yield, with its Nordic core business resilient, though Asian market risks and limited growth prospects cap the score. |
| 21. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 17 | 164 NOK | 2 782 NOK | Score 61 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 15. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 16 | 157 NOK | 2 516 NOK | Score 63 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 14. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 27 | 154 NOK | 4 159 NOK | Score 65 — Telenor's stable Nordic and Asian telecom operations, high dividend yield, and defensive earnings profile offer a solid risk-adjusted hold, with modest upside from continued Asian market monetisation. |
| 13. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 64 | 154 NOK | 9 890 NOK | Score 61 — Telenor offers a defensive yield and stable Nordic subscriber base, with Asian segment restructuring progress a modest positive catalyst, though currency headwinds from emerging-market exposure remain a drag. |
| 12. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 3 | 156 NOK | 467 NOK | Score 61 — Telenor offers a defensive yield and stable Nordic subscriber base, with Asian segment restructuring progress a modest positive catalyst, though currency headwinds from emerging-market exposure remain a drag. |
| 11. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 70 077 NOK | 70 112 NOK | Score 61 — Telenor offers a defensive yield and stable Nordic subscriber base, with Asian segment restructuring progress a modest positive catalyst, though currency headwinds from emerging-market exposure remain a drag. |
| 9. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 59 268 NOK | 59 298 NOK | — |