Renewables
Scatec ASA
| Strategy | Weight | Market value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI Concentrated | — | — | Not held |
| AI Equal Weight | 7.14% | 71 271 NOK | 808 NOK+1.15% |
| AI Momentum | 4.27% | 41 936 NOK | −126 760 NOK−75.14% |
| Date | Score | Rank | Confidence | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25. mai 2026 | 32 | 12 | low | Weak -10.2% 20d return, -4.1% below MA, and near the bottom of its range with high volatility (17.7%) — renewables sentiment remains under pressure. |
| 22. mai 2026 | 40 | 14 | low | Scatec carries meaningful emerging-market currency risk, project execution uncertainty, and a stretched balance sheet that keeps near-term risk/reward unattractive despite renewable energy tailwinds. |
| 21. mai 2026 | 44 | 14 | low | Scatec faces a mixed setup with project execution risks in emerging markets and refinancing headwinds partly offset by a growing renewable capacity pipeline and improving power prices. |
| 20. mai 2026 | 42 | 14 | low | Scatec offers long-term renewable energy growth optionality, but near-term execution risks in emerging markets, elevated debt, and currency exposure to EM currencies weigh on the 1–4 week outlook. |
| 18. mai 2026 | 47 | 14 | medium | Scatec's emerging-market solar and wind pipeline offers long-term growth, but currency risk in project markets, high leverage, and execution uncertainty on new awards keep near-term conviction limited. |
| 15. mai 2026 | 44 | 14 | low | Scatec's emerging-market solar and wind pipeline offers long-run growth, but elevated project financing costs, currency risks in core markets, and near-term earnings volatility reduce short-term conviction. |
| 14. mai 2026 | 42 | 14 | low | Scatec faces a challenging near-term environment with elevated global interest rates compressing project economics and currency risk across its emerging-market project portfolio. |
| 13. mai 2026 | 45 | 14 | medium | Scatec's emerging-market solar and wind project pipeline is attractive structurally, but high financial leverage, currency risk in key markets, and execution uncertainty weigh on near-term risk-reward. |
| 12. mai 2026 | 36 | 15 | low | Scatec is hampered by higher-for-longer interest rates squeezing project IRRs, execution risk across emerging-market solar and hydro projects, and elevated debt leverage that limits near-term upside. |
| 11. mai 2026 | 55 | 11 | medium | Scatec's emerging-market solar and battery pipeline offers long-term growth, but near-term execution risk, currency exposure in key markets, and dilutive project financing weigh on the score. |
| 9. mai 2026 | 32 | — | Renewables development pipeline attractive long term but capital-intensive. Near-term cash burn and execution risk on emerging-market projects. |
| Date | Strategy | Direction | Shares | Price | Net amount | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 33 | 107 NOK | 3 542 NOK | Score 32 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 22. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 39 | 106 NOK | 4 128 NOK | Score 40 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 20. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 31 | 104 NOK | 3 225 NOK | Score 42 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 18. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 26 | 104 NOK | 2 713 NOK | Score 47 — Scatec's emerging-market solar and wind pipeline offers long-term growth, but currency risk in project markets, high leverage, and execution uncertainty on new awards keep near-term conviction limited. |
| 15. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 19 | 104 NOK | 1 983 NOK | Score 44 — Scatec's emerging-market solar and wind pipeline offers long-run growth, but elevated project financing costs, currency risks in core markets, and near-term earnings volatility reduce short-term conviction. |
| 14. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 176 | 105 NOK | 18 558 NOK | Score 42 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 13. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 253 | 102 NOK | 25 895 NOK | Score 58 — Scatec offers a differentiated emerging-market renewable energy growth story, with recent project completions improving cash flow visibility, though currency and execution risks in key markets persist. |
| 12. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 6 | 105 NOK | 629 NOK | Score 58 — Scatec offers a differentiated emerging-market renewable energy growth story, with recent project completions improving cash flow visibility, though currency and execution risks in key markets persist. |
| 11. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 70 077 NOK | 70 112 NOK | Score 58 — Scatec offers a differentiated emerging-market renewable energy growth story, with recent project completions improving cash flow visibility, though currency and execution risks in key markets persist. |
| 10. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 426 NOK | 427 NOK | — |
| 9. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 40 353 NOK | 40 373 NOK | — |