Renewables
Scatec ASA
| Strategy | Weight | Market value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI Concentrated | — | — | Not held |
| AI Equal Weight | 7.14% | 71 900 NOK | −5 788 NOK−7.45% |
| AI Momentum | 6.37% | 57 268 NOK | −194 498 NOK−77.25% |
| Date | Score | Rank | Confidence | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24. juli 2026 | 52 | 10 | medium | Mildly positive 20-day return (+1.9%) and low realized volatility provide modest support, but renewables sector faces headwinds from elevated fossil fuel prices and -1.0% this week. |
| 23. juli 2026 | 53 | 8 | medium | Scatec shows flat but stable momentum at 62% of range and near-zero vsMA — no strong catalyst but renewables policy tailwind provides mild support. |
| 22. juli 2026 | 50 | 10 | medium | Scatec is near its 20-day MA with muted momentum and sits mid-range, offering a neutral setup with low realised volatility but lacking a near-term catalyst. |
| 21. juli 2026 | 50 | 10 | medium | Scatec is near neutral on momentum (slightly negative 20d, flat vsMA) and sits mid-range; renewables sector headwinds and higher rates keep conviction limited near-term. |
| 20. juli 2026 | 50 | 10 | medium | Scatec sits at the midpoint of its range with neutral momentum and very low volatility, offering no clear near-term catalyst in an uncertain renewable energy policy environment. |
| 17. juli 2026 | 62 | 8 | medium | Constructive momentum across all timeframes (+2.7% 5d, +1.7% 20d, +1.4% vsMA, 76% range) with notably low volatility (6.1%) makes Scatec a stable moderate-conviction pick in renewables. |
| 16. juli 2026 | 50 | 10 | medium | Scatec is essentially flat over all timeframes with low volatility and near-MA pricing — a neutral setup with no near-term catalyst visible. |
| 15. juli 2026 | 40 | 12 | low | Scatec's -2.4% weekly and -3.1% monthly returns with the stock in the lower quartile of its range reflect weak renewables sentiment, though relatively low volatility limits downside. |
| 14. juli 2026 | 36 | 12 | low | Scatec continues its slide with negative momentum across all timeframes, below MA, and in the lower quartile of its range; renewables sentiment remains weak. |
| 13. juli 2026 | 35 | 12 | low | Negative momentum on both 5-day (-4.2%) and 20-day (-3.9%) timeframes, below MA, in the lower quartile of range, and the lowest volatility score in the set (Vol 6.1%) provides little cushion against weak trend. |
| 10. juli 2026 | 38 | 13 | low | Both 5-day (-1.8%) and 20-day (-3.8%) returns are negative, with Scatec below its MA and in the lower third of its 20-day range; low volatility (6.0%) limits downside but there is no positive catalyst. |
| 9. juli 2026 | 50 | 8 | medium | Scatec is range-bound near its 20-day MA with low volatility (6.0%) and mid-range positioning, offering a neutral setup with no near-term catalyst to break the holding pattern. |
| 8. juli 2026 | 50 | 7 | medium | Scatec has stabilised with a +2.1% 5-day return and is near its 20-day moving average (vsMA +0.2%), sitting mid-range (57%), offering a neutral setup with low volatility in the renewables sector. |
| 7. juli 2026 | 58 | 5 | medium | Scatec's +6.3% weekly bounce and return above its 20-day MA suggests a short-term recovery, though the -4.3% monthly return and renewables sector uncertainty cap upside conviction. |
| 6. juli 2026 | 52 | 6 | medium | A +6.3% weekly bounce lifts SCATC back to mid-range, but the -4.3% monthly return and renewables sector uncertainty limit conviction. |
| 3. juli 2026 | 48 | 6 | medium | Scatec has recovered modestly this week (+2.2%) and is near its 20-day MA, but the 20-day trend remains slightly negative and renewables sentiment is mixed in the current macro environment. |
| 2. juli 2026 | 42 | 6 | low | Scatec shows modest recovery momentum (+2.1% last week) but remains -7.1% over 20 days and below its 20d MA, leaving the setup mixed with no clear near-term catalyst beyond stabilising renewables sentiment. |
| 1. juli 2026 | 38 | 6 | low | Scatec has partially stabilised with a flat 5-day return and sits near its moving average, but the -7.1% 20-day trend and renewable sector funding headwinds limit near-term upside conviction. |
| 30. juni 2026 | 33 | 7 | low | Scatec is modestly negative across all momentum timeframes with no near-term catalyst, and renewables project financing remains sensitive to rate and FX conditions that are not particularly favourable right now. |
| 29. juni 2026 | 24 | 11 | low | Scatec is at its 20-day low (Rng=0%) with -4.3% 5d and -9.5% 20d losses; renewable sector sentiment remains weak amid elevated financing costs and no catalysts in sight. |
| 26. juni 2026 | 37 | 7 | low | Scatec is roughly flat on the week but down 8.1% over 20 days, sitting near the bottom of its range; renewable energy policy uncertainty and project execution risk keep conviction low. |
| 25. juni 2026 | 28 | 11 | low | Scatec is at its 20-day low, down 9.4% over a month, with weak renewable sentiment and no stock-specific catalyst; relatively low vol is the only modest positive. |
| 24. juni 2026 | 36 | 8 | low | Scatec sits at only 9% of its 20-day range with a -9.3% monthly return, weighed down by renewables sector headwinds including policy uncertainty and high financing costs, though its low Vol (9.2%) provides modest stability. |
| 23. juni 2026 | 40 | 6 | low | Scatec shows the best relative setup among the weak performers — low volatility and a near-flat weekly return — but remains -7.0% over 20 days and below its MA, limiting near-term conviction. |
| 22. juni 2026 | 34 | 8 | low | Scatec's -9.2% monthly decline and position at 17% of range reveal continued selling, though its relatively contained realised volatility and renewables policy tailwinds prevent a full avoid rating. |
| 19. juni 2026 | 28 | 10 | low | Scatec sits at its 20-day low with a -9.7% 20-day decline and -6.2% below its MA; renewable energy policy tailwinds exist structurally but offer no near-term price catalyst to overcome the bearish momentum setup. |
| 18. juni 2026 | 27 | 9 | low | Scatec is at 0% of its 20-day range after consecutive weekly and monthly losses, with renewables sector sentiment mixed and no company-specific positive catalyst visible. |
| 17. juni 2026 | 28 | 10 | low | Scatec sits at the bottom of its 20-day range (Rng=0%) with -7.7% over 20 days; renewable project financing headwinds (echoed in the credit-rating news) and Fed rate hike risk raise the cost of capital, a structural negative for the sector. |
| 16. juni 2026 | 24 | 11 | low | At the bottom of its 20-day range with -5.8% losses over both 5 and 20 days; renewables policy uncertainty and negative momentum make this an avoid in the near term. |
| 15. juni 2026 | 28 | 14 | low | Scatec is in a sustained decline — -4.7% last week, -5.0% over 20 days, at just 4% of its 20-day range — with renewables sector policy uncertainty compounding weak near-term price action. |
| 12. juni 2026 | 25 | 15 | low | Scatec sits at its 20-day low (Rng 0%) with negative momentum on both 5d and 20d horizons and a high vsMA discount of -5.3%, with no positive near-term catalyst visible. |
| 11. juni 2026 | 28 | 14 | low | At the 20-day low (0% range), negative 5d (-5.2%) and 20d (-5.3%) with -4.9% below MA; renewables policy uncertainty and weak sentiment make this an avoid in the near term. |
| 10. juni 2026 | 32 | 12 | low | Scatec sits exactly at its 20-day low (Rng=0%), is below its MA, and the renewables sector faces headwinds from risk-off sentiment and competition from higher fossil-fuel energy prices. |
| 9. juni 2026 | 50 | 8 | medium | Scatec is essentially flat across all momentum measures (near-zero 5d, 20d, and vsMA) with very low volatility (5.1%), offering a neutral-to-stable hold but lacking a clear positive catalyst. |
| 8. juni 2026 | 48 | 7 | medium | Scatec shows modest positive momentum (+2.3% 20d) with the lowest realised volatility in the portfolio (Vol 5.1%), but below-MA pricing and limited near-term catalysts keep conviction moderate. |
| 5. juni 2026 | 38 | 11 | low | Scatec's -11.4% 20d drawdown and persistently weak renewables sentiment in the current high-rate environment outweigh its relatively low realised volatility. |
| 4. juni 2026 | 28 | 13 | low | Scatec shows weak setup with -11.9% over 20 days, sitting only at the 20% range level, and renewables face ongoing headwinds from high fossil fuel prices crowding out policy attention. |
| 3. juni 2026 | 28 | 13 | low | Scatec faces headwinds from a -13.2%/20d drawdown and sits near 20-day lows (Rng=18%); elevated Vol (16.2%) and renewables sector uncertainty under current macro conditions keep conviction low. |
| 2. juni 2026 | 27 | 13 | low | Scatec has the second-worst 20d return in the universe (-13.0%) with the highest realised volatility (17.8%) and remains near the bottom of its range (Rng=13%), reflecting ongoing funding-cost headwinds for renewable developers. |
| 1. juni 2026 | 25 | 13 | low | Scatec has shed -12.6% over 20 days, is near the bottom of its range with the highest realised volatility in the universe — elevated risk in renewables project finance and weak momentum make this an avoid. |
| 29. mai 2026 | 27 | 15 | low | Scatec is the worst 20d performer in the universe (-12.7%) with high volatility and near 20d lows, reflecting continued pressure on renewable project economics and risk appetite. |
| 28. mai 2026 | 28 | 10 | low | Scatec is under persistent selling pressure (-13.1% 20d), trading near the bottom of its range (Rng=18%), with highest-class volatility risk (17.4%) and renewables sector headwinds. |
| 27. mai 2026 | 33 | 11 | low | Scatec sits near the bottom of its 20d range (Rng=26%) with a sharp -12% 20d decline and the highest volatility in the universe (Vol=17.6%), making it a high-risk, low-conviction hold. |
| 26. mai 2026 | 32 | 11 | low | Scatec is in a protracted downtrend (-10.2% over 20 days), below its MA, with high volatility and near its 20-day low — weak setup with no visible reversal catalyst. |
| 25. mai 2026 | 32 | 12 | low | Weak -10.2% 20d return, -4.1% below MA, and near the bottom of its range with high volatility (17.7%) — renewables sentiment remains under pressure. |
| 22. mai 2026 | 40 | 14 | low | Scatec carries meaningful emerging-market currency risk, project execution uncertainty, and a stretched balance sheet that keeps near-term risk/reward unattractive despite renewable energy tailwinds. |
| 21. mai 2026 | 44 | 14 | low | Scatec faces a mixed setup with project execution risks in emerging markets and refinancing headwinds partly offset by a growing renewable capacity pipeline and improving power prices. |
| 20. mai 2026 | 42 | 14 | low | Scatec offers long-term renewable energy growth optionality, but near-term execution risks in emerging markets, elevated debt, and currency exposure to EM currencies weigh on the 1–4 week outlook. |
| 18. mai 2026 | 47 | 14 | medium | Scatec's emerging-market solar and wind pipeline offers long-term growth, but currency risk in project markets, high leverage, and execution uncertainty on new awards keep near-term conviction limited. |
| 15. mai 2026 | 44 | 14 | low | Scatec's emerging-market solar and wind pipeline offers long-run growth, but elevated project financing costs, currency risks in core markets, and near-term earnings volatility reduce short-term conviction. |
| 14. mai 2026 | 42 | 14 | low | Scatec faces a challenging near-term environment with elevated global interest rates compressing project economics and currency risk across its emerging-market project portfolio. |
| 13. mai 2026 | 45 | 14 | medium | Scatec's emerging-market solar and wind project pipeline is attractive structurally, but high financial leverage, currency risk in key markets, and execution uncertainty weigh on near-term risk-reward. |
| 12. mai 2026 | 36 | 15 | low | Scatec is hampered by higher-for-longer interest rates squeezing project IRRs, execution risk across emerging-market solar and hydro projects, and elevated debt leverage that limits near-term upside. |
| 11. mai 2026 | 55 | 11 | medium | Scatec's emerging-market solar and battery pipeline offers long-term growth, but near-term execution risk, currency exposure in key markets, and dilutive project financing weigh on the score. |
| 9. mai 2026 | 32 | — | Renewables development pipeline attractive long term but capital-intensive. Near-term cash burn and execution risk on emerging-market projects. |
| Date | Strategy | Direction | Shares | Price | Net amount | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 83 | 97 NOK | 8 031 NOK | Score 52 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 23. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 36 | 97 NOK | 3 499 NOK | Score 53 — Scatec shows flat but stable momentum at 62% of range and near-zero vsMA — no strong catalyst but renewables policy tailwind provides mild support. |
| 22. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 17 | 97 NOK | 1 646 NOK | Score 50 — Scatec is near its 20-day MA with muted momentum and sits mid-range, offering a neutral setup with low realised volatility but lacking a near-term catalyst. |
| 21. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 6 | 97 NOK | 580 NOK | Score 50 — Scatec is near neutral on momentum (slightly negative 20d, flat vsMA) and sits mid-range; renewables sector headwinds and higher rates keep conviction limited near-term. |
| 20. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 109 | 97 NOK | 10 530 NOK | Score 50 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 17. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 143 | 98 NOK | 14 021 NOK | Score 62 — Constructive momentum across all timeframes (+2.7% 5d, +1.7% 20d, +1.4% vsMA, 76% range) with notably low volatility (6.1%) makes Scatec a stable moderate-conviction pick in renewables. |
| 16. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 106 | 97 NOK | 10 292 NOK | Score 50 — Scatec is essentially flat over all timeframes with low volatility and near-MA pricing — a neutral setup with no near-term catalyst visible. |
| 15. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 10 | 95 NOK | 950 NOK | Score 40 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 13. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 44 | 97 NOK | 4 261 NOK | Score 35 — Negative momentum on both 5-day (-4.2%) and 20-day (-3.9%) timeframes, below MA, in the lower quartile of range, and the lowest volatility score in the set (Vol 6.1%) provides little cushion against weak trend. |
| 10. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 220 | 95 NOK | 20 946 NOK | Score 38 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 9. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 42 | 97 NOK | 4 068 NOK | Score 50 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 8. juli 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 1 662 | 97 NOK | 161 802 NOK | Score 50 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 8. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 69 | 97 NOK | 6 717 NOK | Score 50 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 7. juli 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 160 603 NOK | 160 683 NOK | Score 58 — Scatec's +6.3% weekly bounce and return above its 20-day MA suggests a short-term recovery, though the -4.3% monthly return and renewables sector uncertainty cap upside conviction. |
| 7. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 15 | 99 NOK | 1 492 NOK | Score 58 — Scatec's +6.3% weekly bounce and return above its 20-day MA suggests a short-term recovery, though the -4.3% monthly return and renewables sector uncertainty cap upside conviction. |
| 6. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 19 | 98 NOK | 1 866 NOK | Score 52 — A +6.3% weekly bounce lifts SCATC back to mid-range, but the -4.3% monthly return and renewables sector uncertainty limit conviction. |
| 3. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 19 | 97 NOK | 1 848 NOK | Score 48 — Scatec has recovered modestly this week (+2.2%) and is near its 20-day MA, but the 20-day trend remains slightly negative and renewables sentiment is mixed in the current macro environment. |
| 2. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 70 | 97 NOK | 6 814 NOK | Score 42 — Scatec shows modest recovery momentum (+2.1% last week) but remains -7.1% over 20 days and below its 20d MA, leaving the setup mixed with no clear near-term catalyst beyond stabilising renewables sentiment. |
| 1. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 50 | 96 NOK | 4 780 NOK | Score 38 — Scatec has partially stabilised with a flat 5-day return and sits near its moving average, but the -7.1% 20-day trend and renewable sector funding headwinds limit near-term upside conviction. |
| 30. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 162 | 94 NOK | 15 162 NOK | Score 33 — Scatec is modestly negative across all momentum timeframes with no near-term catalyst, and renewables project financing remains sensitive to rate and FX conditions that are not particularly favourable right now. |
| 29. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 192 | 96 NOK | 18 385 NOK | Score 24 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 26. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 159 | 95 NOK | 15 144 NOK | Score 37 — Scatec is roughly flat on the week but down 8.1% over 20 days, sitting near the bottom of its range; renewable energy policy uncertainty and project execution risk keep conviction low. |
| 25. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 91 | 96 NOK | 8 773 NOK | Score 28 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 24. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 120 | 98 NOK | 11 802 NOK | Score 36 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 23. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 88 | 98 NOK | 8 602 NOK | Score 40 — Scatec shows the best relative setup among the weak performers — low volatility and a near-flat weekly return — but remains -7.0% over 20 days and below its MA, limiting near-term conviction. |
| 22. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 56 | 96 NOK | 5 370 NOK | Score 34 — Scatec's -9.2% monthly decline and position at 17% of range reveal continued selling, though its relatively contained realised volatility and renewables policy tailwinds prevent a full avoid rating. |
| 19. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 21 | 96 NOK | 2 025 NOK | Score 28 — Scatec sits at its 20-day low with a -9.7% 20-day decline and -6.2% below its MA; renewable energy policy tailwinds exist structurally but offer no near-term price catalyst to overcome the bearish momentum setup. |
| 18. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 38 | 97 NOK | 3 692 NOK | Score 27 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 17. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 127 | 98 NOK | 12 490 NOK | Score 28 — Scatec sits at the bottom of its 20-day range (Rng=0%) with -7.7% over 20 days; renewable project financing headwinds (echoed in the credit-rating news) and Fed rate hike risk raise the cost of capital, a structural negative for the sector. |
| 16. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 31 | 99 NOK | 3 072 NOK | Score 24 — At the bottom of its 20-day range with -5.8% losses over both 5 and 20 days; renewables policy uncertainty and negative momentum make this an avoid in the near term. |
| 15. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 36 | 99 NOK | 3 553 NOK | Score 28 — Scatec is in a sustained decline — -4.7% last week, -5.0% over 20 days, at just 4% of its 20-day range — with renewables sector policy uncertainty compounding weak near-term price action. |
| 12. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 39 | 99 NOK | 3 859 NOK | Score 25 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 11. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 38 | 100 NOK | 3 813 NOK | Score 28 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 10. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 287 | 104 NOK | 29 861 NOK | Score 32 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 9. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 21 | 104 NOK | 2 183 NOK | Score 50 — Scatec is essentially flat across all momentum measures (near-zero 5d, 20d, and vsMA) with very low volatility (5.1%), offering a neutral-to-stable hold but lacking a clear positive catalyst. |
| 8. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 155 | 103 NOK | 16 036 NOK | Score 48 — Scatec shows modest positive momentum (+2.3% 20d) with the lowest realised volatility in the portfolio (Vol 5.1%), but below-MA pricing and limited near-term catalysts keep conviction moderate. |
| 5. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 145 | 105 NOK | 15 175 NOK | Score 38 — Scatec's -11.4% 20d drawdown and persistently weak renewables sentiment in the current high-rate environment outweigh its relatively low realised volatility. |
| 4. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 34 | 104 NOK | 3 551 NOK | Score 28 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 3. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 8 | 104 NOK | 833 NOK | Score 28 — Scatec faces headwinds from a -13.2%/20d drawdown and sits near 20-day lows (Rng=18%); elevated Vol (16.2%) and renewables sector uncertainty under current macro conditions keep conviction low. |
| 2. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 23 | 103 NOK | 2 379 NOK | Score 27 — Scatec has the second-worst 20d return in the universe (-13.0%) with the highest realised volatility (17.8%) and remains near the bottom of its range (Rng=13%), reflecting ongoing funding-cost headwinds for renewable developers. |
| 29. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 31 | 105 NOK | 3 250 NOK | Score 27 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 28. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 8 | 106 NOK | 851 NOK | Score 28 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 27. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 32 | 106 NOK | 3 394 NOK | Score 33 — Scatec sits near the bottom of its 20d range (Rng=26%) with a sharp -12% 20d decline and the highest volatility in the universe (Vol=17.6%), making it a high-risk, low-conviction hold. |
| 25. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 33 | 107 NOK | 3 542 NOK | Score 32 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 22. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 39 | 106 NOK | 4 128 NOK | Score 40 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 20. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 31 | 104 NOK | 3 225 NOK | Score 42 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 18. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 26 | 104 NOK | 2 713 NOK | Score 47 — Scatec's emerging-market solar and wind pipeline offers long-term growth, but currency risk in project markets, high leverage, and execution uncertainty on new awards keep near-term conviction limited. |
| 15. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 19 | 104 NOK | 1 983 NOK | Score 44 — Scatec's emerging-market solar and wind pipeline offers long-run growth, but elevated project financing costs, currency risks in core markets, and near-term earnings volatility reduce short-term conviction. |
| 14. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 176 | 105 NOK | 18 558 NOK | Score 42 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 13. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 253 | 102 NOK | 25 895 NOK | Score 58 — Scatec offers a differentiated emerging-market renewable energy growth story, with recent project completions improving cash flow visibility, though currency and execution risks in key markets persist. |
| 12. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 6 | 105 NOK | 629 NOK | Score 58 — Scatec offers a differentiated emerging-market renewable energy growth story, with recent project completions improving cash flow visibility, though currency and execution risks in key markets persist. |
| 11. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 70 077 NOK | 70 112 NOK | Score 58 — Scatec offers a differentiated emerging-market renewable energy growth story, with recent project completions improving cash flow visibility, though currency and execution risks in key markets persist. |
| 10. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 426 NOK | 427 NOK | — |
| 9. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 40 353 NOK | 40 373 NOK | — |