Aquaculture
SalMar ASA
| Strategy | Weight | Market value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI Concentrated | — | — | Not held |
| AI Equal Weight | — | — | Not held |
| AI Momentum | — | — | Not held |
| Date | Score | Rank | Confidence | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24. juli 2026 | 54 | 9 | medium | Near-term bounce (+2.5% 5d) is encouraging but -8.1% over 20 days and only 60% of range signals lingering selling pressure; aquaculture macro is supportive but momentum is mixed. |
| 23. juli 2026 | 44 | 10 | low | 5d rebound of +3.5% is encouraging but the stock is only at 44% of its range following a steep -8% 20d decline, signalling ongoing downtrend. |
| 22. juli 2026 | 52 | 8 | medium | Sharp 5-day recovery (+5.7%) is encouraging but the stock remains deeply negative on a 20-day basis (-8.9%) and sits only mid-range, indicating the bounce may be fragile. |
| 21. juli 2026 | 47 | 11 | medium | SalMar's strong 5-day pop (+6.1%) is encouraging but insufficient to overcome a deep 20-day drawdown (-9.1%) and mid-range positioning (42%), leaving the technical setup mixed. |
| 20. juli 2026 | 42 | 11 | low | Despite a strong +6.1% weekly bounce, SalMar's -9.1% 20d return and only 42% range position signal a damaged trend that needs more confirmation before re-entry. |
| 17. juli 2026 | 42 | 12 | low | Sharp 20-day underperformance (-9.5%) and below-MA price despite a strong 5-day bounce signal a damaged trend with only partial technical recovery; elevated volatility (18.6%) adds risk. |
| 16. juli 2026 | 30 | 14 | low | SalMar's brutal -13.1% 20d drawdown to the 26th percentile of its range with high volatility (18.5%) and no salmon spot price catalyst makes it the weakest aquaculture name. |
| 15. juli 2026 | 25 | 14 | low | SalMar's brutal -15.0% 20-day decline, near 20-day lows at only 15% of range, and extreme 19.1% realised volatility point to a significant structural breakdown with no near-term catalyst. |
| 14. juli 2026 | 20 | 14 | low | Deep -14.1% 20d decline, near 20-day lows (Rng 10%), and elevated volatility (19.2%) make SALM the weakest setup in the universe today. |
| 13. juli 2026 | 22 | 14 | low | Severe 20-day drawdown of -14.1%, near 20-day lows (Rng 10%), well below MA at -7.8%, and high realised volatility (19.2%) — one of the weakest technical setups in the universe. |
| 10. juli 2026 | 26 | 14 | low | Deeply negative 20-day return (-12.9%), sitting at just 4% of its 20-day range and 10.3% below its MA, with elevated volatility (18.9%) and no identifiable catalyst for reversal. |
| 9. juli 2026 | 22 | 14 | low | SalMar is in a clear downtrend — down 10.8% over 20 days, sitting at only 14% of its 20-day range, and exhibiting high realised volatility of 18.8%, with no offsetting catalyst. |
| 8. juli 2026 | 22 | 14 | low | SalMar is the weakest aquaculture name with a severe -10.5% 20-day drawdown, sitting near 20-day lows (Rng 9%) with elevated realised volatility (18.7%), signalling clear distribution. |
| 7. juli 2026 | 22 | 14 | low | SalMar's severe -12.5% monthly decline, -9.7% weekly loss, extremely high 18.6% realised volatility, and positioning at the 15th percentile of its range make it the weakest setup in the universe. |
| 6. juli 2026 | 20 | 14 | low | Sharp -9.7% weekly decline and -12.5% monthly loss with price near 20-day lows signals clear near-term downtrend and elevated volatility. |
| 3. juli 2026 | 18 | 14 | low | SalMar is the weakest name in the aquaculture space, down a severe -13%/-16.5% over 5/20 days, sitting near 20-day lows with very high realised volatility — a clear avoid. |
| 2. juli 2026 | 12 | 15 | low | SalMar has suffered the sharpest sell-off in the universe (-19.8% over 20 days, -16.8% last week) and sits at its 20-day low with extremely elevated realised volatility, signalling a high-risk, avoid situation. |
| 1. juli 2026 | 15 | 15 | low | SalMar is the worst performer in the universe with a -13.5%/-17.4% 5d/20d drawdown, sitting at its 20-day low with the highest volatility in the aquaculture group. |
| 30. juni 2026 | 22 | 14 | low | SalMar is the weakest aquaculture name with a -8.1% weekly loss, -12.7% 20-day return, at 0% of its 20-day range, and elevated volatility (12.5%) — all pointing to continued near-term downside. |
| 29. juni 2026 | 28 | 8 | low | SalMar is near its 20-day low (Rng=4%) with a steep -9.9% 20d return and elevated volatility (Vol=9.9%), making it the weakest aquaculture name in the near term. |
| 26. juni 2026 | 34 | 10 | low | SalMar is down 8% over the month, trading in the lower quartile of its 20-day range, with elevated volatility and no salmon spot price support to anchor a recovery. |
| 25. juni 2026 | 43 | 6 | low | SalMar is down 7% over 20 days, sitting at mid-range with slightly negative vsMA, suggesting consolidation without a clear catalyst to reverse near-term weakness. |
| 24. juni 2026 | 35 | 9 | low | SalMar has lost nearly 10% over 20 days and sits at only 29% of its range with elevated volatility, reflecting broad aquaculture sector weakness and absence of a near-term re-rating catalyst. |
| 23. juni 2026 | 33 | 8 | low | SalMar is in a downtrend (-7.3% over 20d), trading below its MA with elevated volatility relative to MOWI, offering no compelling short-term setup without a salmon price catalyst. |
| 22. juni 2026 | 37 | 7 | low | SalMar sits at only 31% of its 20-day range with a -6.3% monthly return and elevated realised volatility, reflecting sector weakness without a near-term positive catalyst. |
| 19. juni 2026 | 38 | 6 | low | A +3.0% 5-day bounce is encouraging but SalMar remains -6.0% over 20 days, below its 20-day MA, and at only 31% of its range, with high realised volatility (14.2%) and no visible near-term catalyst. |
| 18. juni 2026 | 38 | 6 | low | SalMar has slight positive 5-day momentum but is 7.9% below its 20-day MA and near 20-day lows, with elevated volatility and no clear near-term catalyst. |
| 17. juni 2026 | 44 | 4 | low | Best 5-day return in aquaculture (+5.0%) signals short-term buying interest, but the -5.5% 20-day trend and elevated Vol (14.1%) suggest choppiness rather than a clean reversal. |
| 16. juni 2026 | 55 | 4 | medium | Strong +6.4% 5-day surge shows near-term buying interest but the stock remains below its 20-day MA and in the lower half of its range, limiting near-term upside conviction. |
| 15. juni 2026 | 46 | 8 | medium | SalMar is marginally negative over 20 days (-1.5%), below its 20-day MA (-3.9%), and at only 29% of its range; higher volatility (14%) and missing salmon spot data add uncertainty. |
| 12. juni 2026 | 30 | 12 | low | SalMar is under the most selling pressure in aquaculture (-5.3% 5d, -3.8% 20d, -6.4% vsMA) with elevated volatility and a Rng of only 11%, signalling persistent downtrend. |
| 11. juni 2026 | 35 | 12 | low | Worst 5d performance in the aquaculture group (-7.1%), -6.7% below 20-day MA, at only 11% of range — strong technical deterioration with no near-term catalyst to arrest the slide. |
| 10. juni 2026 | 27 | 14 | low | SalMar has the worst 5-day performance in aquaculture (-7.0%), sitting near 20-day lows and well below its moving average, signalling continued selling pressure. |
| 9. juni 2026 | 18 | 14 | low | SalMar is the worst performer in aquaculture this week (-9.4% 5d) and is pinned at its 20-day low with elevated volatility, signalling continued distribution. |
| 8. juni 2026 | 20 | 14 | low | SalMar is at its 20-day low with the sharpest weekly drop in the aquaculture group (-7.0%), and elevated volatility relative to peers adds further near-term risk. |
| 5. juni 2026 | 46 | 6 | medium | Positive 20d return (+1.8%) offers modest support despite weak 5d and slightly below MA, keeping SALM in mild-positive territory among aquaculture peers. |
| 4. juni 2026 | 45 | 8 | medium | SALM is essentially flat on a 20-day basis with neutral vsMA and sits at the 52% range position, showing the most stable momentum among aquaculture peers. |
| 3. juni 2026 | 36 | 9 | low | Sharp -5.6% weekly drop drags SALM toward mid-range despite near-flat 20d return; elevated volatility (11.1%) and absent salmon price data leave near-term risk to the downside. |
| 2. juni 2026 | 52 | 4 | medium | SalMar is the strongest aquaculture name on momentum, sitting above its 20-day MA (+1.0%), at 60% of its 20-day range, and showing a positive 20d return (+4.3%) that suggests relative sector leadership. |
| 1. juni 2026 | 57 | 4 | medium | SalMar holds a solid 20-day uptrend (+3.9%) and positive vsMA despite modest 5-day softness, with mid-range positioning and sector-average volatility. |
| 29. mai 2026 | 67 | 3 | medium | SalMar is the momentum leader in aquaculture with a strong 20d return (+7.1%) and positive vsMA, supported by expected firm harvest volumes and spot prices. |
| 28. mai 2026 | 65 | 5 | medium | Robust 20-day return of +8.9% and near-top range positioning signal strong underlying demand, though elevated volatility (11.2%) and slightly negative 5d return temper enthusiasm. |
| 27. mai 2026 | 72 | 4 | high | SalMar is at its 20-day high with a strong +9.6% 20d return and +6.6% above the MA — the strongest momentum in the aquaculture space, signalling clear near-term buying interest. |
| 26. mai 2026 | 74 | 3 | high | SalMar is leading the aquaculture sector with strong 20d momentum, nearly at its 20-day high, and an above-MA breakout suggesting continued near-term strength. |
| 25. mai 2026 | 74 | 3 | high | Strong +8.3% 20d momentum, +5.2% above 20d MA, and positioned at 96% of its 20d range — the clearest uptrend in the aquaculture sector. |
| 22. mai 2026 | 75 | 2 | high | SalMar is the highest-quality pure-play salmon farmer with superior EBIT/kg margins and the Iceland Seafood integration progressing well, making it the top aquaculture pick into Q2 results. |
| 21. mai 2026 | 78 | 2 | high | SalMar's superior cost structure and strong Norwegian volume growth make it the highest-conviction aquaculture pick as spot prices hold firm above NOK 80/kg. |
| 20. mai 2026 | 78 | 2 | high | SalMar's superior cost structure and strong Norwegian harvest volumes make it the highest-quality play on firm salmon prices heading into the seasonally strong Q2 period. |
| 18. mai 2026 | 76 | 2 | high | SalMar is the highest-quality Norwegian salmon farmer with superior biology, strong cash generation, and improving spot prices pointing to a robust Q2 earnings beat. |
| 15. mai 2026 | 76 | 2 | high | SalMar's industry-leading biology performance and strong Norwegian harvest volumes position it as the highest-quality play on rebounding salmon prices. |
| 14. mai 2026 | 75 | 2 | high | SalMar offers the most attractive blend of Norwegian production growth and improving spot price momentum, with strong operational leverage to a recovering price cycle. |
| 13. mai 2026 | 70 | 2 | high | SalMar's low-cost Norwegian farming operations and InnovaMar processing capacity position it to capture outsized margin expansion in the current spot price upswing. |
| 12. mai 2026 | 63 | 10 | medium | SalMar's efficient Norwegian farming operations and Iceland exposure provide a solid earnings base as spot prices recover, but the resource-rent tax and elevated capex cycle weigh on free cash flow visibility. |
| 11. mai 2026 | 70 | 4 | high | SalMar offers the best near-term operational leverage to higher spot prices with strong Norwegian farming volumes and the InnovaMar facility driving unit-cost improvements. |
| 9. mai 2026 | 65 | — | SalMar's Iceland and Norway volumes growing. NRS merger synergies still flowing through. Premium valuation warranted. |
| Date | Strategy | Direction | Shares | Price | Net amount | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26. juni 2026 | AI Equal Weight | sell | 131 | 543 NOK | 71 157 NOK | Score 34 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 26. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 129 | 543 NOK | 70 071 NOK | Score 34 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 25. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 32 | 536 NOK | 17 162 NOK | Score 43 — SalMar is down 7% over 20 days, sitting at mid-range with slightly negative vsMA, suggesting consolidation without a clear catalyst to reverse near-term weakness. |
| 24. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 2 | 540 NOK | 1 080 NOK | Score 35 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 23. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 14 | 539 NOK | 7 549 NOK | Score 33 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 22. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 14 | 539 NOK | 7 549 NOK | Score 37 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 19. juni 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 540 NOK | 540 NOK | Score 38 — A +3.0% 5-day bounce is encouraging but SalMar remains -6.0% over 20 days, below its 20-day MA, and at only 31% of its range, with high realised volatility (14.2%) and no visible near-term catalyst. |
| 18. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 25 | 547 NOK | 13 667 NOK | Score 38 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 18. juni 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 306 | 547 NOK | 167 284 NOK | Score 38 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 17. juni 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 27 | 548 NOK | 14 787 NOK | Score 44 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 17. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 18 | 548 NOK | 9 858 NOK | Score 44 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 16. juni 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 181 636 NOK | 181 727 NOK | Score 55 — Strong +6.4% 5-day surge shows near-term buying interest but the stock remains below its 20-day MA and in the lower half of its range, limiting near-term upside conviction. |
| 16. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 60 | 539 NOK | 32 328 NOK | Score 55 — Strong +6.4% 5-day surge shows near-term buying interest but the stock remains below its 20-day MA and in the lower half of its range, limiting near-term upside conviction. |
| 15. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 41 | 525 NOK | 21 537 NOK | Score 46 — SalMar is marginally negative over 20 days (-1.5%), below its 20-day MA (-3.9%), and at only 29% of its range; higher volatility (14%) and missing salmon spot data add uncertainty. |
| 12. juni 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 70 800 NOK | 70 835 NOK | Score 30 — SalMar is under the most selling pressure in aquaculture (-5.3% 5d, -3.8% 20d, -6.4% vsMA) with elevated volatility and a Rng of only 11%, signalling persistent downtrend. |
| 12. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 42 251 NOK | 42 272 NOK | Score 30 — SalMar is under the most selling pressure in aquaculture (-5.3% 5d, -3.8% 20d, -6.4% vsMA) with elevated volatility and a Rng of only 11%, signalling persistent downtrend. |
| 10. juni 2026 | AI Equal Weight | sell | 138 | 515 NOK | 71 032 NOK | Score 27 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 10. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 55 | 515 NOK | 28 310 NOK | Score 27 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 9. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 1 | 533 NOK | 533 NOK | Score 18 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 8. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 66 | 553 NOK | 36 509 NOK | Score 20 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 5. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 4 | 565 NOK | 2 259 NOK | Score 46 — Positive 20d return (+1.8%) offers modest support despite weak 5d and slightly below MA, keeping SALM in mild-positive territory among aquaculture peers. |
| 4. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 15 | 562 NOK | 8 428 NOK | Score 45 — SALM is essentially flat on a 20-day basis with neutral vsMA and sits at the 52% range position, showing the most stable momentum among aquaculture peers. |
| 3. juni 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 299 | 568 NOK | 169 876 NOK | Score 36 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 3. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 45 | 568 NOK | 25 567 NOK | Score 36 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 2. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 16 | 574 NOK | 9 178 NOK | Score 52 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 2. juni 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 10 | 574 NOK | 5 736 NOK | Score 52 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 1. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 14 | 577 NOK | 8 080 NOK | Score 57 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 1. juni 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 35 | 577 NOK | 20 200 NOK | Score 57 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 29. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 11 | 586 NOK | 6 445 NOK | Score 67 — SalMar is the momentum leader in aquaculture with a strong 20d return (+7.1%) and positive vsMA, supported by expected firm harvest volumes and spot prices. |
| 29. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 1 | 584 NOK | 584 NOK | Score 67 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 28. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 7 | 595 NOK | 4 164 NOK | Score 65 — Robust 20-day return of +8.9% and near-top range positioning signal strong underlying demand, though elevated volatility (11.2%) and slightly negative 5d return temper enthusiasm. |
| 28. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 4 | 593 NOK | 2 372 NOK | Score 65 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 27. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 3 | 584 NOK | 1 753 NOK | Score 72 — SalMar is at its 20-day high with a strong +9.6% 20d return and +6.6% above the MA — the strongest momentum in the aquaculture space, signalling clear near-term buying interest. |
| 27. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 6 | 583 NOK | 3 496 NOK | Score 72 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 26. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 4 | 583 NOK | 2 331 NOK | Score 74 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 25. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 20 | 577 NOK | 11 537 NOK | Score 74 — Strong +8.3% 20d momentum, +5.2% above 20d MA, and positioned at 96% of its 20d range — the clearest uptrend in the aquaculture sector. |
| 25. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 577 NOK | 577 NOK | Score 74 — Strong +8.3% 20d momentum, +5.2% above 20d MA, and positioned at 96% of its 20d range — the clearest uptrend in the aquaculture sector. |
| 22. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 4 | 574 NOK | 2 295 NOK | Score 75 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 21. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 6 | 585 NOK | 3 508 NOK | Score 78 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 21. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 586 NOK | 586 NOK | Score 78 — SalMar's superior cost structure and strong Norwegian volume growth make it the highest-conviction aquaculture pick as spot prices hold firm above NOK 80/kg. |
| 20. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 12 | 564 NOK | 6 766 NOK | Score 78 — SalMar's superior cost structure and strong Norwegian harvest volumes make it the highest-quality play on firm salmon prices heading into the seasonally strong Q2 period. |
| 18. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 547 NOK | 547 NOK | Score 76 — SalMar is the highest-quality Norwegian salmon farmer with superior biology, strong cash generation, and improving spot prices pointing to a robust Q2 earnings beat. |
| 18. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 1 | 545 NOK | 545 NOK | Score 76 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 15. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 547 NOK | 547 NOK | Score 76 — SalMar's industry-leading biology performance and strong Norwegian harvest volumes position it as the highest-quality play on rebounding salmon prices. |
| 14. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 2 | 532 NOK | 1 064 NOK | Score 75 — SalMar offers the most attractive blend of Norwegian production growth and improving spot price momentum, with strong operational leverage to a recovering price cycle. |
| 14. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 9 | 546 NOK | 4 912 NOK | Score 75 — SalMar offers the most attractive blend of Norwegian production growth and improving spot price momentum, with strong operational leverage to a recovering price cycle. |
| 13. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 4 | 532 NOK | 2 129 NOK | Score 74 — SalMar trades at an attractive valuation relative to peers with above-average biological performance and strong harvest volumes expected in Q2 2026, supporting a moderately bullish near-term view. |
| 13. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 8 | 532 NOK | 4 254 NOK | Score 70 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 12. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 533 NOK | 533 NOK | Score 74 — SalMar trades at an attractive valuation relative to peers with above-average biological performance and strong harvest volumes expected in Q2 2026, supporting a moderately bullish near-term view. |
| 12. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 3 | 533 NOK | 1 600 NOK | Score 74 — SalMar trades at an attractive valuation relative to peers with above-average biological performance and strong harvest volumes expected in Q2 2026, supporting a moderately bullish near-term view. |
| 11. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 70 077 NOK | 70 112 NOK | Score 74 — SalMar trades at an attractive valuation relative to peers with above-average biological performance and strong harvest volumes expected in Q2 2026, supporting a moderately bullish near-term view. |
| 11. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 196 216 NOK | 196 314 NOK | Score 74 — SalMar trades at an attractive valuation relative to peers with above-average biological performance and strong harvest volumes expected in Q2 2026, supporting a moderately bullish near-term view. |
| 10. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 602 NOK | 602 NOK | — |
| 9. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 81 967 NOK | 82 008 NOK | — |