Materials
Norsk Hydro ASA
| Strategy | Weight | Market value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI Concentrated | — | — | Not held |
| AI Equal Weight | 7.14% | 71 948 NOK | −13 668 NOK−15.96% |
| AI Momentum | 4.41% | 39 638 NOK | −108 083 NOK−73.17% |
| Date | Score | Rank | Confidence | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24. juli 2026 | 36 | 14 | low | Weak momentum (-2.0% 5d, -6.4% 20d) with range position at 40% and mild negative vs MA; aluminium demand softness and elevated energy costs weigh on the setup. |
| 23. juli 2026 | 22 | 14 | low | Norsk Hydro at 11% of its 20-day range with -10.9% monthly loss and -3.7% below MA is in a clear downtrend — avoid until stabilisation. |
| 22. juli 2026 | 18 | 14 | low | Norsk Hydro is at the absolute bottom of its 20-day range (0% Rng), down 15.3% over 20 days, and 5.4% below its MA — one of the weakest setups in the universe with no recovery signal. |
| 21. juli 2026 | 22 | 13 | low | Norsk Hydro is in a severe downtrend (-16.6% over 20 days, near 20-day low at 4% range) with aluminium price weakness and high volatility making the near-term risk/reward unattractive. |
| 20. juli 2026 | 28 | 13 | low | Norsk Hydro is the worst-performing stock over 20 days (-16.6%), sitting at just 4% of its range and deeply below its moving average, with no visible recovery catalyst. |
| 17. juli 2026 | 30 | 13 | low | Deeply negative 20-day return (-14.8%) and near 20-day lows (18% range) despite a modest 5-day bounce signal a broken trend; high volatility (19.4%) and aluminium price uncertainty add further risk. |
| 16. juli 2026 | 33 | 13 | low | Norsk Hydro's -13.6% 20d slide and near-low range positioning (25%) with elevated volatility (20.1%) indicate a stock under sustained distribution pressure. |
| 15. juli 2026 | 28 | 13 | low | Norsk Hydro faces severe technical damage with a -16.1% 20-day decline, the stock near 20-day lows, and the highest realised volatility (20.4%) in the portfolio indicating a deteriorating setup. |
| 14. juli 2026 | 18 | 15 | low | Norsk Hydro is in a severe downtrend (-22.5% over 20 days), near its 20-day low (Rng 3%), deeply below MA, and exhibiting high volatility — avoid. |
| 13. juli 2026 | 20 | 15 | low | Worst 20-day return in the entire universe (-22.5%), near multi-week lows (Rng 3%), well below MA (-7.7%), and high realised volatility (20.2%) — aluminium sector headwinds and broken technicals argue for avoidance. |
| 10. juli 2026 | 18 | 15 | low | Catastrophic 20-day drawdown (-23.3%), sitting at the very bottom of its 20-day range (0%), 10.8% below its MA, and the highest volatility in the universe (27.8%) — a clear avoid with no reversal signal. |
| 9. juli 2026 | 14 | 15 | low | Norsk Hydro is the weakest name in the universe — a severe –23.7% 20-day drawdown, at just 1% of its range, with extreme realised volatility (25.6%) and no positive catalysts visible. |
| 8. juli 2026 | 15 | 15 | low | Norsk Hydro is the weakest name in the universe with a devastating -23.8% 20-day loss, extreme realised volatility (27.8%), sitting at just 4% of its 20-day range — aluminium oversupply and global growth concerns make this an avoid. |
| 7. juli 2026 | 14 | 15 | low | Norsk Hydro is at the absolute bottom of its 20-day range with a catastrophic -25.7% monthly decline, -12.6% below its 20-day MA, and the highest realised volatility (28.8%) in the universe — avoid. |
| 6. juli 2026 | 15 | 15 | low | Severe -25.7% monthly decline, price at 20-day low (Rng=0%), and the highest volatility in the universe (28.8%) make NHY the weakest setup today. |
| 3. juli 2026 | 12 | 15 | low | Norsk Hydro is the weakest stock in the universe — down 27.1% over 20 days, at its 20-day low (Rng=0%), with extremely high realised volatility (29.9%) — a clear avoid. |
| 2. juli 2026 | 14 | 14 | low | Norsk Hydro is the weakest stock in the universe on momentum (-25.8% over 20 days, -13.4% vs MA) with the highest realised volatility (29.6%), reflecting a collapsing aluminium price environment and maximum near-term risk. |
| 1. juli 2026 | 18 | 14 | low | Norsk Hydro is the worst-performing stock over 20 days (-24.8%) with a Vol reading of 28.8% — the highest in the universe — reflecting severe aluminium price and global demand concerns. |
| 30. juni 2026 | 15 | 15 | low | Norsk Hydro is in a severe downtrend (-21.7% 20d, -8.2% 5d, 2% range) with the highest volatility in the universe (29.1%), reflecting broad pressure on aluminium prices and elevated operational risk — a clear avoid. |
| 29. juni 2026 | 10 | 15 | low | Norsk Hydro is the weakest stock in the universe — -12.7% 5d, -21.4% 20d, Rng=0%, vsMA=-16.1%, and the highest volatility (Vol=28.8%) — signalling a severe breakdown with no visible floor. |
| 26. juni 2026 | 14 | 15 | low | Norsk Hydro is the weakest name in the universe — down 20.7% over 20 days, -11.3% in just the last week, trading at its 20-day low with the highest realised volatility (27.3%) — signalling severe near-term risk. |
| 25. juni 2026 | 12 | 15 | low | Norsk Hydro is the worst performer in the universe — down 18.7% over 20 days, -15.5% below its MA, at its 20-day low, with the highest realised volatility (25.7%) — a clear avoid. |
| 24. juni 2026 | 20 | 15 | low | Norsk Hydro has collapsed -18.8% over 20 days and is sitting at its 20-day low, 14.1% below its MA, with the highest realised volatility in the universe (23.3%), reflecting aluminium price weakness and no near-term recovery catalyst. |
| 23. juni 2026 | 20 | 14 | low | Norsk Hydro is also at a 20-day low with the highest realised volatility in the universe (19.7%) and a -12.0% monthly decline, reflecting broad materials sector weakness with no near-term recovery signal. |
| 22. juni 2026 | 20 | 12 | low | Norsk Hydro trades at only 1% of its 20-day range with a -8.4% vsMA and -7.7% monthly decline, reflecting aluminium price weakness and a strong NOK — deeply negative setup. |
| 19. juni 2026 | 22 | 11 | low | Norsk Hydro is at its 20-day low after a -8.1% 5-day drop and -5.0% 20-day decline, with vsMA at -8.8% signalling strong downtrend, as aluminium price weakness and tariff headwinds maintain a negative near-term outlook. |
| 18. juni 2026 | 22 | 11 | low | Norsk Hydro is at 0% of its 20-day range and 8.2% below its 20-day MA after a sharp 6.7% weekly drop, reflecting aluminium price weakness and negative near-term momentum. |
| 17. juni 2026 | 20 | 13 | low | Norsk Hydro is at its 20-day low (Rng=0%) after a -8.9% weekly collapse and -8.0% below MA — aluminium price weakness and rising energy costs are compounding broad market risk-off selling. |
| 16. juni 2026 | 18 | 15 | low | The worst weekly performer at -10.0% with the stock at its 20-day low and -8.1% below its moving average — aluminium price weakness and macro uncertainty create a clearly negative near-term outlook. |
| 15. juni 2026 | 38 | 11 | low | Norsk Hydro dropped -5.4% last week and sits at 36% of its 20-day range below its MA; aluminium sector headwinds and elevated volatility (13.5%) dampen the modest positive 20-day return. |
| 12. juni 2026 | 46 | 7 | medium | Norsk Hydro shows a positive 20-day return (+6.3%) but a sharp -6.3% weekly reversal pulls it back below its 20-day MA, creating a mixed signal that warrants cautious positioning. |
| 11. juni 2026 | 42 | 9 | low | Despite positive 20d return (+4.7%), severe 5d drop (-7.3%) and -1.6% vsMA suggest a sharp reversal; aluminium sector uncertainty and elevated cost pressures weigh on near-term outlook. |
| 10. juni 2026 | 55 | 7 | medium | Norsk Hydro stands above its MA with a strong 20-day return of +8.7%, partially offset by a sharp -5.3% pullback this week, suggesting a potential consolidation opportunity. |
| 9. juni 2026 | 63 | 3 | medium | Norsk Hydro has strong 20d momentum (+7.5%), trades well above its MA (+3.1%), and sits near the top of its 20-day range (68%), benefiting from aluminium price support and energy transition demand. |
| 8. juni 2026 | 68 | 4 | medium | Norsk Hydro is the standout materials name with +8.7% over 20 days and sitting at 78% of its 20-day range, driven by aluminium price recovery and energy transition demand. |
| 5. juni 2026 | 76 | 1 | high | NHY is the standout momentum leader across the entire universe: +9.2% over 20 days, vsMA +7.2%, Rng 91%, with aluminium price strength reinforcing the bullish technical picture. |
| 4. juni 2026 | 75 | 1 | high | NHY is the standout momentum leader — +5.4% weekly, +12.2% monthly, +8.2% above its 20-day MA, and sitting at 95% of its 20-day range — suggesting strong trend continuation in aluminium. |
| 3. juni 2026 | 82 | 1 | high | Norsk Hydro is the standout momentum leader in the portfolio: +3.2%/5d, +16.8%/20d, vsMA of +9.5%, and at the top of its 20-day range (Rng=100%), driven by aluminium price strength and sector re-rating. |
| 2. juni 2026 | 70 | 2 | high | Norsk Hydro is the second-strongest momentum name with a +10.7% 20-day return, sitting at 91% of its 20-day range and well above its MA (+5.8%), driven by aluminium price recovery and green-metals demand. |
| 1. juni 2026 | 65 | 2 | medium | Norsk Hydro is one of the better-performing names: +7.0% over 20 days, above the 20-day MA, in the upper quartile of its range — aluminium price recovery and green energy transition provide a constructive backdrop. |
| 29. mai 2026 | 72 | 2 | high | Norsk Hydro has strong cross-timeframe momentum (+6.2% 5d, +7.5% 20d) at 86% of its 20d range, benefiting from improving aluminium demand and USD/NOK tailwinds for exporters. |
| 28. mai 2026 | 68 | 3 | medium | Norsk Hydro's strong 5-day surge (+8.0%) with bullish vsMA (+5.4%) and solid 20d return (+5.0%) suggests positive aluminium price dynamics or a company-specific catalyst driving outperformance. |
| 27. mai 2026 | 77 | 2 | high | Norsk Hydro is at its 20-day high with an exceptional +8.9% 5d and +8.6% 20d return, well above its MA — aluminium price recovery and green energy demand are clear tailwinds. |
| 26. mai 2026 | 72 | 5 | high | Norsk Hydro is at its 20-day high with strong +4.9% 5d and +3.4% 20d momentum, driven by aluminium price recovery and improving sentiment for green materials. |
| 25. mai 2026 | 70 | 5 | high | At 100% of its 20d range with +4.9% 5d and +4.5% above MA — strong breakout momentum in aluminium supported by improved EUR/NOK for exports. |
| 22. mai 2026 | 55 | 12 | medium | Norsk Hydro benefits from aluminium price stabilisation and its downstream extrusions margins, though energy cost headwinds in Europe and weak automotive demand limit near-term upside. |
| 21. mai 2026 | 57 | 11 | medium | Norsk Hydro benefits from stabilizing aluminium prices and green premium demand for recycled aluminium, though high European energy costs and oversupply from China limit meaningful upside. |
| 20. mai 2026 | 44 | 13 | low | Norsk Hydro navigates a challenging environment of soft aluminium prices and elevated European energy costs, with the renewables segment providing only partial offset to upstream margin pressure. |
| 18. mai 2026 | 58 | 11 | medium | Norsk Hydro is supported by resilient aluminium demand from the energy-transition supply chain and ongoing Alunorte ramp-up, though LME aluminium price softness and energy cost risks keep the setup mixed. |
| 15. mai 2026 | 55 | 11 | medium | Norsk Hydro benefits from firm aluminium prices and its low-carbon green aluminium premium, though energy cost volatility and NOK strength create near-term margin uncertainty. |
| 14. mai 2026 | 52 | 13 | medium | Norsk Hydro is stabilising as aluminium prices recover modestly and green aluminium premiums improve, but European energy cost headwinds and Chinese supply pressure keep the setup mixed. |
| 13. mai 2026 | 53 | 11 | medium | Norsk Hydro's integrated aluminium and renewables businesses offer medium-term appeal, but soft LME aluminium prices and near-term European demand uncertainty temper short-term conviction. |
| 12. mai 2026 | 45 | 13 | medium | Norsk Hydro's aluminium operations face compressed margins from lower LME prices and high European energy costs, though the downstream extrusion and recycling business provides partial offset and the balance sheet remains solid. |
| 11. mai 2026 | 44 | 14 | low | Norsk Hydro is squeezed between soft aluminium spot prices and high European energy costs, with limited near-term catalyst despite longer-term green-aluminium positioning. |
| 9. mai 2026 | 61 | — | Aluminium prices recovering; renewable energy segment undervalued by market. Bauxite-to-aluminium integration de-risks cost base. |
| Date | Strategy | Direction | Shares | Price | Net amount | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 146 | 86 NOK | 12 537 NOK | Score 36 — Weak momentum (-2.0% 5d, -6.4% 20d) with range position at 40% and mild negative vs MA; aluminium demand softness and elevated energy costs weigh on the setup. |
| 21. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 77 | 85 NOK | 6 532 NOK | Score 22 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 20. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 6 | 85 NOK | 510 NOK | Score 28 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 17. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 35 | 87 NOK | 3 058 NOK | Score 30 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 16. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 56 | 89 NOK | 4 990 NOK | Score 33 — Norsk Hydro's -13.6% 20d slide and near-low range positioning (25%) with elevated volatility (20.1%) indicate a stock under sustained distribution pressure. |
| 15. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 58 | 87 NOK | 5 020 NOK | Score 28 — Norsk Hydro faces severe technical damage with a -16.1% 20-day decline, the stock near 20-day lows, and the highest realised volatility (20.4%) in the portfolio indicating a deteriorating setup. |
| 2. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 21 | 90 NOK | 1 883 NOK | Score 14 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 1. juli 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 19 | 90 NOK | 1 706 NOK | Score 18 — Norsk Hydro is the worst-performing stock over 20 days (-24.8%) with a Vol reading of 28.8% — the highest in the universe — reflecting severe aluminium price and global demand concerns. |
| 25. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 27 | 94 NOK | 2 533 NOK | Score 12 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 24. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 29 | 98 NOK | 2 827 NOK | Score 20 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 23. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 7 | 102 NOK | 712 NOK | Score 20 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 22. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 70 | 102 NOK | 7 112 NOK | Score 20 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 18. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 23 | 103 NOK | 2 373 NOK | Score 22 — Norsk Hydro is at 0% of its 20-day range and 8.2% below its 20-day MA after a sharp 6.7% weekly drop, reflecting aluminium price weakness and negative near-term momentum. |
| 17. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 72 | 103 NOK | 7 431 NOK | Score 20 — Norsk Hydro is at its 20-day low (Rng=0%) after a -8.9% weekly collapse and -8.0% below MA — aluminium price weakness and rising energy costs are compounding broad market risk-off selling. |
| 16. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 194 | 110 NOK | 21 269 NOK | Score 18 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 15. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 111 | 111 NOK | 12 269 NOK | Score 38 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 12. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 56 | 110 NOK | 6 169 NOK | Score 46 — Norsk Hydro shows a positive 20-day return (+6.3%) but a sharp -6.3% weekly reversal pulls it back below its 20-day MA, creating a mixed signal that warrants cautious positioning. |
| 11. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 135 | 113 NOK | 15 246 NOK | Score 42 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 10. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 156 | 114 NOK | 17 835 NOK | Score 55 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 10. juni 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 1 697 | 114 NOK | 194 015 NOK | Score 55 — exited; fell below selection threshold |
| 9. juni 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 30 | 116 NOK | 3 487 NOK | Score 63 — Norsk Hydro has strong 20d momentum (+7.5%), trades well above its MA (+3.1%), and sits near the top of its 20-day range (68%), benefiting from aluminium price support and energy transition demand. |
| 9. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 71 | 116 NOK | 8 227 NOK | Score 63 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 8. juni 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 85 | 118 NOK | 10 023 NOK | Score 68 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 8. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 81 | 118 NOK | 9 552 NOK | Score 68 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 5. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 26 | 119 NOK | 3 091 NOK | Score 76 — NHY is the standout momentum leader across the entire universe: +9.2% over 20 days, vsMA +7.2%, Rng 91%, with aluminium price strength reinforcing the bullish technical picture. |
| 4. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 175 | 119 NOK | 20 872 NOK | Score 75 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 3. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 148 | 115 NOK | 16 971 NOK | Score 82 — Norsk Hydro is the standout momentum leader in the portfolio: +3.2%/5d, +16.8%/20d, vsMA of +9.5%, and at the top of its 20-day range (Rng=100%), driven by aluminium price strength and sector re-rating. |
| 2. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 51 | 113 NOK | 5 782 NOK | Score 70 — Norsk Hydro is the second-strongest momentum name with a +10.7% 20-day return, sitting at 91% of its 20-day range and well above its MA (+5.8%), driven by aluminium price recovery and green-metals demand. |
| 1. juni 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 24 | 114 NOK | 2 726 NOK | Score 65 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 29. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 12 | 113 NOK | 1 354 NOK | Score 72 — Norsk Hydro has strong cross-timeframe momentum (+6.2% 5d, +7.5% 20d) at 86% of its 20d range, benefiting from improving aluminium demand and USD/NOK tailwinds for exporters. |
| 29. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 15 | 113 NOK | 1 692 NOK | Score 72 — Norsk Hydro has strong cross-timeframe momentum (+6.2% 5d, +7.5% 20d) at 86% of its 20d range, benefiting from improving aluminium demand and USD/NOK tailwinds for exporters. |
| 28. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 17 | 116 NOK | 1 970 NOK | Score 68 — Norsk Hydro's strong 5-day surge (+8.0%) with bullish vsMA (+5.4%) and solid 20d return (+5.0%) suggests positive aluminium price dynamics or a company-specific catalyst driving outperformance. |
| 28. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | sell | 8 | 116 NOK | 924 NOK | Score 68 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 27. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 76 | 111 NOK | 8 441 NOK | Score 77 — Norsk Hydro is at its 20-day high with an exceptional +8.9% 5d and +8.6% 20d return, well above its MA — aluminium price recovery and green energy demand are clear tailwinds. |
| 27. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 104 | 111 NOK | 11 551 NOK | Score 77 — Norsk Hydro is at its 20-day high with an exceptional +8.9% 5d and +8.6% 20d return, well above its MA — aluminium price recovery and green energy demand are clear tailwinds. |
| 26. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 16 | 111 NOK | 1 777 NOK | Score 72 — Norsk Hydro is at its 20-day high with strong +4.9% 5d and +3.4% 20d momentum, driven by aluminium price recovery and improving sentiment for green materials. |
| 26. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 11 | 111 NOK | 1 222 NOK | Score 72 — Norsk Hydro is at its 20-day high with strong +4.9% 5d and +3.4% 20d momentum, driven by aluminium price recovery and improving sentiment for green materials. |
| 25. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 264 | 110 NOK | 29 176 NOK | Score 70 — At 100% of its 20d range with +4.9% 5d and +4.5% above MA — strong breakout momentum in aluminium supported by improved EUR/NOK for exports. |
| 25. mai 2026 | AI Concentrated | buy | 1 | 189 267 NOK | 189 362 NOK | Score 70 — At 100% of its 20d range with +4.9% 5d and +4.5% above MA — strong breakout momentum in aluminium supported by improved EUR/NOK for exports. |
| 22. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 16 | 107 NOK | 1 712 NOK | Score 55 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 21. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 121 | 104 NOK | 12 645 NOK | Score 57 — Norsk Hydro benefits from stabilizing aluminium prices and green premium demand for recycled aluminium, though high European energy costs and oversupply from China limit meaningful upside. |
| 20. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 125 | 106 NOK | 13 199 NOK | Score 44 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 18. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 24 | 107 NOK | 2 567 NOK | Score 58 — Norsk Hydro is supported by resilient aluminium demand from the energy-transition supply chain and ongoing Alunorte ramp-up, though LME aluminium price softness and energy cost risks keep the setup mixed. |
| 15. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 29 | 107 NOK | 3 102 NOK | Score 55 — Norsk Hydro benefits from firm aluminium prices and its low-carbon green aluminium premium, though energy cost volatility and NOK strength create near-term margin uncertainty. |
| 13. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 175 | 104 NOK | 18 173 NOK | Score 52 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 12. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 5 | 105 NOK | 526 NOK | Score 52 — Norsk Hydro benefits from resilient aluminium demand in EVs and renewables infrastructure, but LME aluminium prices remain under pressure from Chinese export volumes, limiting near-term upside. |
| 11. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 70 077 NOK | 70 112 NOK | Score 52 — Norsk Hydro benefits from resilient aluminium demand in EVs and renewables infrastructure, but LME aluminium prices remain under pressure from Chinese export volumes, limiting near-term upside. |
| 10. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 2 | 329 NOK | 659 NOK | — |
| 9. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 76 923 NOK | 76 961 NOK | — |