Energy
Aker BP ASA
| Strategy | Weight | Market value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI Concentrated | — | — | Not held |
| AI Equal Weight | 7.14% | 71 023 NOK | 2 222 NOK+3.23% |
| AI Momentum | 8.41% | 82 626 NOK | 43 146 NOK+109.29% |
| Date | Score | Rank | Confidence | Thesis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25. mai 2026 | 63 | 7 | medium | Positive 5d/20d momentum and Brent crude at $100/bbl provide a solid near-term tailwind for this upstream E&P name. |
| 22. mai 2026 | 52 | 13 | medium | Aker BP's high-quality Johan Sverdrup asset base and strong free cash flow generation are partially offset by Brent crude softness and elevated capex from ongoing field development programmes. |
| 21. mai 2026 | 52 | 13 | medium | Aker BP's high-quality Valhall and Johan Sverdrup production is partially offset by Brent in the low $70s and elevated capex commitments reducing free cash flow visibility. |
| 20. mai 2026 | 45 | 12 | medium | Softer Brent crude in the low-to-mid $70s and OPEC+ supply uncertainty weigh on Aker BP's near-term cash flow outlook despite an attractive dividend yield. |
| 18. mai 2026 | 52 | 13 | medium | Aker BP's high-quality Valhall and Yggdrasil assets underpin long-term value, but range-bound Brent crude and elevated capex during the Yggdrasil ramp-up weigh on near-term free cash flow. |
| 15. mai 2026 | 42 | 15 | low | Softer Brent crude and rising OPEC+ supply cap near-term upside for Aker BP despite its strong production base and upcoming dividend, making risk/reward mixed. |
| 14. mai 2026 | 58 | 11 | medium | Aker BP's strong production base and generous dividend yield are attractive, but flat Brent crude around $73–76/bbl and elevated capex on major projects limit near-term re-rating. |
| 13. mai 2026 | 48 | 13 | medium | Aker BP's high-quality asset base is increasingly offset by softer Brent prices and elevated capex commitments on Valhall and NOAKA, creating a near-term earnings headwind. |
| 12. mai 2026 | 72 | 3 | high | Aker BP's high-quality Valhall and Johan Sverdrup production base, robust hedge book, and attractive dividend yield offer compelling risk/reward with Brent stable in the mid-$70s. |
| 11. mai 2026 | 48 | 13 | medium | Aker BP's high-quality Valhall/Johan Sverdrup assets are offset by Brent softness near $71 and elevated capex commitments, creating near-term free-cash-flow pressure. |
| 9. mai 2026 | 58 | — | Pure-play Norwegian oil with strong Valhall and Skarv cash generation. Dividend policy attractive at current oil price. |
| Date | Strategy | Direction | Shares | Price | Net amount | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 65 | 358 NOK | 23 259 NOK | Score 63 — Positive 5d/20d momentum and Brent crude at $100/bbl provide a solid near-term tailwind for this upstream E&P name. |
| 22. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 359 NOK | 359 NOK | Score 52 — Aker BP's high-quality Johan Sverdrup asset base and strong free cash flow generation are partially offset by Brent crude softness and elevated capex from ongoing field development programmes. |
| 21. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 16 | 362 NOK | 5 801 NOK | Score 52 — Aker BP's high-quality Valhall and Johan Sverdrup production is partially offset by Brent in the low $70s and elevated capex commitments reducing free cash flow visibility. |
| 20. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 15 | 347 NOK | 5 206 NOK | Score 45 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 18. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 32 | 338 NOK | 10 835 NOK | Score 52 — Aker BP's high-quality Valhall and Yggdrasil assets underpin long-term value, but range-bound Brent crude and elevated capex during the Yggdrasil ramp-up weigh on near-term free cash flow. |
| 15. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 54 | 338 NOK | 18 230 NOK | Score 42 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 14. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 43 | 341 NOK | 14 663 NOK | Score 58 — Aker BP's strong production base and generous dividend yield are attractive, but flat Brent crude around $73–76/bbl and elevated capex on major projects limit near-term re-rating. |
| 13. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | sell | 67 | 333 NOK | 22 331 NOK | Score 45 — reducing weight (rebalance) |
| 12. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 2 | 341 NOK | 682 NOK | Score 45 — Aker BP faces near-term pressure from softer Brent crude in the low-to-mid $70s range, with production ramp-up at Valhall partially offsetting the weaker price environment. |
| 11. mai 2026 | AI Equal Weight | buy | 1 | 70 077 NOK | 70 112 NOK | Score 45 — Aker BP faces near-term pressure from softer Brent crude in the low-to-mid $70s range, with production ramp-up at Valhall partially offsetting the weaker price environment. |
| 10. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 4 | 168 NOK | 673 NOK | — |
| 9. mai 2026 | AI Momentum | buy | 1 | 73 140 NOK | 73 176 NOK | — |